Red Rock Resorts (RRR): Assessing Valuation After This Year’s Strong Share Price Run

Red Rock Resorts (RRR) has quietly put together a strong run this year, and the stock’s recent move higher is prompting investors to revisit how its Las Vegas focused casino portfolio supports that momentum.

See our latest analysis for Red Rock Resorts.

That 6.4% one day share price jump to about $61 signals investors are leaning back into Red Rock’s local Las Vegas growth story, with year to date share price returns already strong and longer term total shareholder returns reinforcing that this momentum has been building rather than fading.

If Red Rock’s run has you rethinking where momentum and insider conviction overlap, it could be a smart moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With shares up sharply this year and trading only modestly below analyst targets, the key question now is whether Red Rock still trades at a meaningful discount or if the market is already pricing in its next leg of growth.

Most Popular Narrative: 6.0% Undervalued

With Red Rock Resorts last closing at $61.14 against a narrative fair value near $65, the current setup leans toward modest upside if its growth blueprint plays out.

The company's large land bank and disciplined approach to new development projects in high barrier to entry locations uniquely position Red Rock Resorts to capitalize on the growing preference for local, integrated resort experiences, providing a multi year pipeline for revenue and EBITDA expansion.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how steady revenue growth, rising margins and shrinking share count combine into that upside case, all under a sub 10% discount rate assumption? The full narrative reveals the ambitious earnings path and valuation multiple that have to line up almost perfectly for this fair value to hold.

Result: Fair Value of $65.07 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, that upside depends on Red Rock successfully managing heavy capex and avoiding a Las Vegas locals slowdown, which could quickly erode earnings momentum.

Find out about the key risks to this Red Rock Resorts narrative.

Build Your Own Red Rock Resorts Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom view of Red Rock in just a few minutes, Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Red Rock Resorts research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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