The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does NVR Carry?
As you can see below, NVR had US$913.5m of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has US$2.88b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$1.96b net cash.
How Strong Is NVR's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, NVR had liabilities of US$813.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.39b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$2.88b in cash and US$52.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$729.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that NVR has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, NVR boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
But the other side of the story is that NVR saw its EBIT decline by 4.8% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine NVR's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While NVR has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, NVR recorded free cash flow worth 76% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that NVR has net cash of US$1.96b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 76% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$1.8b. So is NVR's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for NVR you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About NYSE:NVR
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