NVR Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

NVR is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 0.9% and 4.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 41.2% in 3 years.

Key information

0.9%

Earnings growth rate

4.5%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Durables earnings growth8.6%
Revenue growth rate4.8%
Future return on equity41.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated13 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Is It Time To Consider Buying NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)?

Dec 14
Is It Time To Consider Buying NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)?

NVR, Inc.: Potentially Topping Out

Dec 04

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

Dec 02
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

NVR (NYSE:NVR) Knows How To Allocate Capital

Sep 27
NVR (NYSE:NVR) Knows How To Allocate Capital

High But Declining Rates Set NVR Up For Success

Sep 24

Is NVR (NYSE:NVR) A Risky Investment?

Sep 15
Is NVR (NYSE:NVR) A Risky Investment?

NVR: An Awesome Compounder That's Run Up Too Far Too Fast

Sep 04

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

Sep 03
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

What Is NVR, Inc.'s (NYSE:NVR) Share Price Doing?

Aug 22
What Is NVR, Inc.'s (NYSE:NVR) Share Price Doing?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

Jul 23
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

Shareholders Are Optimistic That NVR (NYSE:NVR) Will Multiply In Value

Jun 28
Shareholders Are Optimistic That NVR (NYSE:NVR) Will Multiply In Value

NVR Continues To Capitalize On Housing Shortage And High Mortgage Rates

Jun 21

Here's Why NVR (NYSE:NVR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Jun 16
Here's Why NVR (NYSE:NVR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

At US$7,458, Is It Time To Put NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) On Your Watch List?

May 23
At US$7,458, Is It Time To Put NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) On Your Watch List?

NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

May 08
NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Many Would Be Envious Of NVR's (NYSE:NVR) Excellent Returns On Capital

Mar 24
Many Would Be Envious Of NVR's (NYSE:NVR) Excellent Returns On Capital

A Look At The Fair Value Of NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

Feb 29
A Look At The Fair Value Of NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR)

NVR (NYSE:NVR) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Jan 28
NVR (NYSE:NVR) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Revisiting NVR: Still An Attractive Investment

Jan 11

NVR: A Deep Dive Into This Phenomenal Homebuilder

Nov 23

NVR: Controlled Risk With Potential Upside

Oct 03

NVR: Still Undervalued Despite The Surge This Year

Aug 31

Right Tail Capital - NVR Corp:  Fantastic Returns On Incremental Capital

Jul 26

NVR: Lots Of Cash But No Margin Of Safety

Jul 02

NVR, Inc.: Recession Fears Loom Over This Exceptional Homebuilder

Jun 14

NVR GAAP EPS of $133.44 beats by $34.08, revenue of $2.67B beats by $190M

Jan 31

NVR: A Top Homebuilder Pick At BofA, Valuation And Technicals Support Higher Prices

Jan 11

NVR GAAP EPS of $118.51 misses by $0.15, revenue of $2.74B beats by $170M

Oct 25

Ensemble Capital - NVR: Best Positioned To Capitalize On Long-Term Secular Tailwind For US Housing

Oct 18

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NVR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202611,3371,6811,7701,7183
12/31/202511,0031,6501,6471,6576
12/31/202410,3421,6541,6661,5185
9/30/202410,2811,6351,2031,233N/A
6/30/202410,1241,6381,5041,533N/A
3/31/20249,8471,6421,2981,329N/A
12/31/20239,6831,5921,4731,498N/A
9/30/20239,9421,6361,7941,819N/A
6/30/202310,1191,6151,7461,767N/A
3/31/202310,4081,6441,8591,876N/A
12/31/202210,5751,7261,8521,870N/A
9/30/202210,0721,6051,2951,313N/A
6/30/20229,6811,5261,1491,169N/A
3/31/20229,3031,4141,2051,223N/A
12/31/20218,9661,2371,2251,242N/A
9/30/20219,0861,2071,3121,328N/A
6/30/20218,6801,1321,0611,076N/A
3/31/20218,0189741,1691,185N/A
12/31/20207,563901909925N/A
9/30/20207,209852918936N/A
6/30/20207,136820914935N/A
3/31/20207,320866686707N/A
12/31/20197,426879844867N/A
9/30/20197,428855719741N/A
6/30/20197,366827835856N/A
3/31/20197,349820851873N/A
12/31/20187,187797703723N/A
9/30/20187,006690707727N/A
6/30/20186,819656N/A562N/A
3/31/20186,574601N/A540N/A
12/31/20176,320538N/A570N/A
9/30/20176,255564N/A631N/A
6/30/20176,123519N/A564N/A
3/31/20175,966463N/A546N/A
12/31/20165,833425N/A393N/A
9/30/20165,635408N/A290N/A
6/30/20165,500407N/A256N/A
3/31/20165,355409N/A165N/A
12/31/20155,168383N/A227N/A
9/30/20154,941348N/A242N/A
6/30/20154,741322N/A161N/A
3/31/20154,598297N/A199N/A
12/31/20144,452282N/A185N/A
9/30/20144,367280N/A140N/A
6/30/20144,353273N/A344N/A
3/31/20144,261255N/A333N/A
12/31/20134,220266N/A270N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NVR's forecast earnings growth (0.9% per year) is below the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: NVR's earnings (0.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NVR's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NVR's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NVR's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NVR's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (41.2%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:25
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NVR, Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rafe JadrosichBofA Global Research
Carl ReichardtBTIG
Megan Talbott McGrathBuckingham Research Group Inc.