Stock Analysis

CoreCivic, Inc.'s (NYSE:CXW) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

NYSE:CXW
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 16x, you may consider CoreCivic, Inc. (NYSE:CXW) as an attractive investment with its 10.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times have been advantageous for CoreCivic as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for CoreCivic

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:CXW Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 23rd 2023
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CoreCivic will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is CoreCivic's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like CoreCivic's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 44% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 13% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 1.7% each year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 12% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why CoreCivic is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On CoreCivic's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that CoreCivic maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You need to take note of risks, for example - CoreCivic has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than CoreCivic. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.