Stock Analysis

Should You Be Adding Federal Signal (NYSE:FSS) To Your Watchlist Today?

NYSE:FSS
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For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Federal Signal (NYSE:FSS). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Federal Signal with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Federal Signal

Federal Signal's Improving Profits

Even modest earnings per share growth (EPS) can create meaningful value, when it is sustained reliably from year to year. So it's no surprise that some investors are more inclined to invest in profitable businesses. Federal Signal's EPS shot up from US$1.63 to US$2.09; a result that's bound to keep shareholders happy. That's a impressive gain of 29%.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. While we note Federal Signal achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 18% to US$1.5b. That's progress.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:FSS Earnings and Revenue History May 21st 2023

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Federal Signal's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Federal Signal Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It should give investors a sense of security owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, creating a close alignment their interests. Shareholders will be pleased by the fact that insiders own Federal Signal shares worth a considerable sum. Given insiders own a significant chunk of shares, currently valued at US$80m, they have plenty of motivation to push the business to succeed. This would indicate that the goals of shareholders and management are one and the same.

It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? A brief analysis of the CEO compensation suggests they are. For companies with market capitalisations between US$2.0b and US$6.4b, like Federal Signal, the median CEO pay is around US$6.8m.

Federal Signal offered total compensation worth US$5.7m to its CEO in the year to December 2022. That comes in below the average for similar sized companies and seems pretty reasonable. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Should You Add Federal Signal To Your Watchlist?

If you believe that share price follows earnings per share you should definitely be delving further into Federal Signal's strong EPS growth. If that's not enough, consider also that the CEO pay is quite reasonable, and insiders are well-invested alongside other shareholders. Everyone has their own preferences when it comes to investing but it definitely makes Federal Signal look rather interesting indeed. We should say that we've discovered 1 warning sign for Federal Signal that you should be aware of before investing here.

Although Federal Signal certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.