Caterpillar (CAT) Stock Overview
Provides construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives in the United States and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
CAT Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 379 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Caterpillar Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$920.22 |
| 52 Week High | US$931.35 |
| 52 Week Low | US$336.24 |
| Beta | 1.62 |
| 1 Month Change | 15.86% |
| 3 Month Change | 18.86% |
| 1 Year Change | 163.06% |
| 3 Year Change | 328.57% |
| 5 Year Change | 291.60% |
| Change since IPO | 26,589.16% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • May 14
Caterpillar: A Masterclass In Execution Meeting An Irrationally Exuberant Valuation
Summary Caterpillar is trading at a significant valuation premium, with a forward P/FCF of 43, nearly triple its five-year average. Current momentum is driven by surging data center demand, a record $62.7 billion backlog, and strong double-digit revenue growth outlook. Despite operational excellence and reduced volatility, CAT’s capital-intensive, cyclical nature makes its software-like multiple unsustainable long-term. I require a 30-50% stock price contraction before CAT offers a margin of safety aligned with its industrial fundamentals. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • May 04
Results: Caterpillar Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Caterpillar Inc. ( NYSE:CAT ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its...Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 14
Caterpillar: A Masterclass In Execution Meeting An Irrationally Exuberant Valuation
Summary Caterpillar is trading at a significant valuation premium, with a forward P/FCF of 43, nearly triple its five-year average. Current momentum is driven by surging data center demand, a record $62.7 billion backlog, and strong double-digit revenue growth outlook. Despite operational excellence and reduced volatility, CAT’s capital-intensive, cyclical nature makes its software-like multiple unsustainable long-term. I require a 30-50% stock price contraction before CAT offers a margin of safety aligned with its industrial fundamentals. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • May 04
Results: Caterpillar Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Caterpillar Inc. ( NYSE:CAT ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its...
Narrative Update • May 02
CAT: Physical AI Mega Projects Will Likely Cap Future Return Potential
The analyst price target for Caterpillar in this narrative has been raised from $521.71 to $575.00. This reflects analysts' use of higher valuation multiples and slightly stronger margin and earnings assumptions following a series of recent target hikes and upgrades tied to construction demand, mega project pipelines, and Caterpillar's positioning in physical AI and data center related equipment.
Narrative Update • Apr 16
CAT: Future Returns Will Reflect Data Center Power And Physical AI Execution Risks
Caterpillar's analyst price target has been revised slightly higher to $754.33 from $742.18, with analysts pointing to updated fair value work, modestly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a somewhat higher future P/E multiple to reflect recent sector research and sentiment. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Caterpillar has centered on higher price targets and updated views on long term demand drivers, digital capabilities, and the construction cycle.Narrative Update • Apr 02
CAT: Future Returns Will Reflect Data Center Power And Cycle Normalization Risks
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Caterpillar from about $588 to roughly $742, reflecting higher modeled revenue growth, a richer future P/E assumption of about 28x, and a slightly lower discount rate. This is supported by recent research that highlights strong data center related power demand, a healthy pipeline of mega construction projects, and Caterpillar's positioning in physical AI.Narrative Update • Mar 19
CAT: Data Center Power Dependence Will Likely Restrain Future Return Potential
Caterpillar's updated analyst price target reflects a modest fair value lift of about $1 per share. Analysts point to stronger construction demand signals from ConExpo, lengthening engine lead times tied to data center projects, and growing confidence in the company as a physical AI and infrastructure supplier.Narrative Update • Mar 05
CAT: Data Center Power Dependence Will Likely Cap Future Return Potential
Caterpillar's updated fair value estimate has increased from about $475 to $521, as analysts factor in stronger projected revenue growth, a higher future P/E multiple, and ongoing demand in private non residential construction and data center power projects. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Caterpillar has been skewed toward higher price targets and generally constructive views, with several firms lifting their expectations alongside stronger assumptions for private non residential construction and data center related demand.
New Narrative • Mar 03
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT): The Industrial Architect – Leveraging the AI Data Center Boom and Infrastructure Supercycle in 2026.
Caterpillar (CAT) is currently operating as the engine of the global industrial recovery, trading at $752.18 as of the March 2, 2026, close. Despite a broader market rotation that has punished high-multiple growth stocks, Caterpillar has surged over 120% in the last year , recently hitting an all-time high above $775 on February 11.
Narrative Update • Feb 19
CAT: Data Center Power Demand Will Drive Future Multiple Repricing
Caterpillar's analyst price target has been raised from $790 to $850. Analysts cited updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple, partly offset by more moderate profit margin expectations.Narrative Update • Feb 05
CAT: Data Center Engine Reliance Will Likely Erode Future Return Expectations
The analyst price target for Caterpillar has moved higher from about US$393 to roughly US$475, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions for slightly stronger profit margins, a higher future P/E multiple, and ongoing support from data center driven engine demand. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, the tone around Caterpillar has leaned constructive, with a cluster of firms lifting their price targets by wide ranges, from around US$15 to as high as US$125.Narrative Update • Jan 21
CAT: Data Center Power Demand Will Drive Future Earnings Repricing
Our Caterpillar fair value estimate is updated from $780 to $790, reflecting analysts' higher price targets and their focus on data center driven engine demand, stronger Energy & Transportation and Construction trends, and a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Caterpillar has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and highlighting specific growth drivers tied to engines, power generation and core construction and energy markets.Narrative Update • Jan 07
CAT: Power Demand And Backlog Strength Will Drive Future Earnings Repricing
The analyst price target for Caterpillar has been raised from US$507 to US$780, with analysts citing stronger profit expectations, a higher assumed future P/E multiple, and recent Street research that highlights solid Q3 results, improving backlogs, and growing confidence around Energy & Transportation and Power Gen demand. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Caterpillar points to a wide range of views, but there is a clear pocket of bullish analysts who are leaning into the Q3 print, backlog trends, and perceived strength in Energy & Transportation, Power Gen, and Construction.Narrative Update • Dec 21
CAT: Power Demand Optimism Will Likely Fade And Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have lifted their Caterpillar fair value estimate by about $28 to roughly $393, citing upward revisions to revenue growth and margins, a modestly higher assumed future P E multiple, and a wave of recent price target increases and upgrades following stronger than expected Q3 results and improving Power Gen and construction demand. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a broadly constructive view on Caterpillar following its Q3 earnings beat, with multiple upgrades and sizable price target increases.Narrative Update • Dec 07
CAT: Future Returns Will Reflect Power Demand Upside And Tariff Headwind Risks
Analysts have nudged our Caterpillar price target higher by approximately $30 per share to reflect a stronger multiple on the Power Gen business, broad-based target hikes across the Street following Q3 outperformance, and growing conviction in secular demand and margin durability. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broadly constructive but increasingly bifurcated view on Caterpillar, with most on the Street acknowledging stronger execution in Power Gen and core machinery, while debating how much of this strength is already embedded in the valuation.Narrative Update • Nov 23
CAT: Future Performance Will Balance Demand Momentum And Rising Tariff Headwinds
Caterpillar's analyst price target has increased from $559 to $588. This reflects growing confidence among analysts due to strong recent earnings and an improved demand outlook across key segments.Narrative Update • Nov 05
CAT: Fair Value Will Reflect Mixed Cycle Outlook Amid New Demand and Tariff Risks
Caterpillar's fair value estimate has increased by over $60 to $559, as analysts cite strong Q3 earnings, improved margins, and sustained demand, which are driving a higher price target for the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports reflect a wide range of opinions on Caterpillar's outlook, with both bullish and bearish case elements evident following the company's strong quarterly performance and evolving macroeconomic conditions.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Debate Caterpillar Outlook as Price Targets Rise and Valuation Climbs Amid New Risks
The analyst price target for Caterpillar has increased from approximately $468 to $498. Analysts cite resilient margins, improved inventory management, and expectations for continued earnings growth despite ongoing tariff headwinds as key drivers of this upward revision.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Global Infrastructure Expansion Will Drive Equipment Renewal Cycle
Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for Caterpillar to approximately $468. They cite stronger-than-expected operating margins, resilience against tariff pressures, and continued robust demand as supporting factors.Narrative Update • Sep 23
Global Infrastructure Expansion Will Drive Equipment Renewal Cycle
Caterpillar’s consensus price target was raised to $458.91 as analysts grow more confident in operational momentum, resilient margins, and the potential for earnings recovery in 2025 despite tariff headwinds and some downward EPS revisions from bears. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets based on strong Q2 results, resilient construction equipment margins, and successful management of dealer inventories, suggesting continued operational momentum despite tariff pressures.Narrative Update • Aug 07
Global Infrastructure Expansion Will Drive Equipment Renewal Cycle
Caterpillar’s fair value estimate remains steady at $426.17, as both its future P/E ratio and consensus revenue growth forecasts show no significant change. What's in the News Caterpillar, Joule Capital Partners, and Wheeler Machinery Co. agreed to power Joule's Utah data center campus with Caterpillar's advanced generator sets, integrated cooling and power solutions, and substantial grid-forming battery energy storage, emphasizing fast deployment and comprehensive support.Analysis Article • Aug 07
Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets
NYSE:CAT 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Caterpillar's Fair Values from the Community and select yours As you...Analysis Article • Jul 18
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)
Key Insights Caterpillar's estimated fair value is US$520 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With US$418 share...Analysis Article • Jul 06
Why Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Could Be Worth Watching
Caterpillar Inc. ( NYSE:CAT ) saw a significant share price rise of 45% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. The...Analysis Article • Jun 24
The Price Is Right For Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)
It's not a stretch to say that Caterpillar Inc.'s ( NYSE:CAT ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.3x right now...Analysis Article • Jun 10
Is Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • May 17
We Like Caterpillar's (NYSE:CAT) Returns And Here's How They're Trending
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Seeking Alpha • Apr 15
Caterpillar: This Cat Is Out Of Lives For Now (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Caterpillar offers competitive advantages like scale, a strong brand, and global reach, making it a proxy for global economic growth. Despite cyclicality, Caterpillar's valuation is reasonable, with a price-to-earnings ratio below the historical average and potential for mid-single-digit EPS growth. The company's diversified revenue streams and exposure to secular trends like renewable energy and defense investments bolster its long-term prospects. Yet, CAT stock is sell rated because it was so overvalued at $400 a share; $300 a share still does not bring it into range for us in the current environment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 06
Caterpillar Vs. Deere: Which One Is The Better Buy Amidst Tariffs?
Summary Tariffs are spreading fear among investors and pushing for an increase in domestic manufacturing activity. Caterpillar and Deere are two iconic American manufacturers that will be partly affected by tariffs. In this article, I compare the two stocks to assess which one is the better pick right now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 12
Caterpillar: Diversification Without Diworsification; Home Depot Looks Healthy, So Do Others
Summary I would like to diversify my Caterpillar stock holdings while avoiding diworsification. Tax efficiency is crucial; strategies include tax lot harvesting and using timing to avoid capital gains. A list of high-quality dividend-growth stocks is evaluated based on historical and future fair values, and also on future growth and dividend growth. After filtering and ranking, HD, LOW, and SNA offer solid income replacement potential and can match CAT's performance, making them suitable for diversification. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 06
Caterpillar: Good Long-Term Story, But Near-Term Woes Keep Me On The Sidelines
Summary Caterpillar benefits from long-term tailwinds like the IIJA, increased mining demand, and data center energy needs, but faces short-term macroeconomic headwinds. CAT's valuation appears cheap at a 16x forward P/E ratio, but margin normalization and tariff impacts suggest caution before investing. Historical patterns show CAT's stock typically drops 34% during slowdowns; the current drawdown is ~20%, indicating potential further decline. I recommend a hold rating, waiting for better buying opportunities as CAT's stock price aligns with historical drawdowns and margin pressures materialize. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 27
Caterpillar: Why The Stock Is Close To Fair Value
Summary Caterpillar demonstrates sustainable profitability despite a 3.4% revenue decline in 2024, attributed to effective cost management and strategic business diversification. Trading at a P/E of 15.42x and EV/EBITDA of 12.49x, Caterpillar's valuation is close to industry medians, indicating fair market value. Short-term macroeconomic challenges limit growth catalysts, but long-term potential remains strong due to a diversified business model and competitive positioning. Recommend a "Hold" rating for Caterpillar shares, focusing on long-term investment attractiveness amid market recovery and infrastructure investments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| CAT | US Machinery | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 2.7% | -0.4% | 1.1% |
| 1Y | 163.1% | 42.1% | 26.7% |
Return vs Industry: CAT exceeded the US Machinery industry which returned 42.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: CAT exceeded the US Market which returned 26.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| CAT volatility | |
|---|---|
| CAT Average Weekly Movement | 5.6% |
| Machinery Industry Average Movement | 6.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: CAT has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: CAT's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1925 | 118,000 | Joe Creed | www.caterpillar.com |
Caterpillar Inc. provides construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives in the United States and internationally. The Construction Industries segment offers asphalt pavers, cold planers, compactors, forestry machines, material handlers, motor graders, pipelayers, road reclaimers, telehandlers, track-type tractors, and track and wheel excavators; backhoe, compact track, skid steer, track-type, and wheel loaders; and related parts and work tools. Its Resource Industries segment provides electric rope and hydraulic shovels, draglines, rotary drills, hard rock vehicles, mining trucks, wheel loaders, off-highway and articulated trucks, wide-body trucks, wheel tractor scrapers and dozers, and landfill and soil compactors; machinery components, and wear and maintenance components; and technology products and services for fleet management, equipment management analytics, autonomous machine capabilities, safety services, and mining performance solutions.
Caterpillar Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| CAT fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$415.59b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$9.43b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$70.76b |
44.9x
P/E Ratio6.0x
P/S RatioIs CAT overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| CAT income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$70.76b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$47.09b |
| Gross Profit | US$20.24b |
| Other Expenses | US$10.81b |
| Earnings | US$9.43b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 20.47 |
| Gross Margin | 28.60% |
| Net Profit Margin | 13.33% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 230.8% |
How did CAT perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
0.7%
Current Dividend Yield30%
Payout RatioDoes CAT pay a reliable dividends?
See CAT dividend history and benchmarks| Caterpillar dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | Apr 20 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | May 19 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 26 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 3 days |
Does CAT pay a reliable dividends?
See CAT dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/14 16:17 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Caterpillar Inc. is covered by 61 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Eade | Argus Research Company |
| Mircea Dobre | Baird |
| Meredith Taylor | Barclays |