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Caterpillar Community
NYSE:CAT Community
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Caterpillar
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Slow Innovation Will Hurt Revenue Growth in Global Markets
Key Takeaways Shrinking stock buybacks will turn away investors who are seeking guaranteed capital returns. Caterpillar being late to electrify and automate their heavy machinery could see customers shift to more technologically advanced competitors.
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US$319.93
FV
6.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.09%
Revenue growth p.a.
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1
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8
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7 months ago
author updated this narrative
Caterpillar
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Infrastructure Programs and Industry Growth Will Push Earnings Higher
Key Takeaways Government spending on energy and infrastructure globally will be the biggest growth drivers Market will re-rate CAT to industry PE of 20.2x, up from 15.6x as growth becomes appreciated Buyback program will support price appreciation of 5+% per year Industry is expected to grow earnings by 13% annually, but CAT won’t grow as quickly CAT can grow earnings by 5.75% annually to reach $10.4B in 2028 Catalysts Company Catalysts Growth in Latin American development projects For the company, regional development and government programs should be monitored because developing markets like LATAM and Asia Pacific have a lot more economic growth avenues to cover and require supporting machinery to build commercial, residential and industry projects. A well-established brand like CAT may be in a good position to secure new long-term public and private projects.
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US$338.56
FV
11.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
7
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4
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7 months ago
author updated this narrative
Caterpillar
JU
julio
Community Contributor
cat valuation
Bullsu Increased infrastructure spending in the US and emerging markets will lead to more construction equipment purchases, substantially boosting Caterpillar's sales growth. Higher fixed-asset investment growth in China strengthens support for increased investment in mining capital expenditures, benefiting Caterpillar.
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US$332.91
FV
10.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
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0
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2
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9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Caterpillar
WA
WallStreetWontons
Community Contributor
Increased Infrastructure projects will continue, but not rapidly with current geopolitical and cyclical challenges
Catalysts Infrastructure Investment : Governments and private sectors worldwide are increasingly investing in infrastructure projects. CAT’s construction equipment, machinery, and services play a vital role in building roads, bridges, airports, and other critical infrastructure.
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US$359.84
FV
17.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
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0
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2
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9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Caterpillar
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
Investment In Alternative Fuels And Electrification Will Expand Markets And Align With Sustainability Goals
Key Takeaways Investment in capacity expansion and a strong backlog are expected to drive revenue growth in Energy & Transportation. Focus on services and strategic capital deployment aims to improve net margins and shareholder returns while aligning with sustainability goals.
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US$375.56
FV
20.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.68%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
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145
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Your Valuation for
CAT
CAT
Caterpillar
Your Fair Value
US$
Current Price
US$298.12
4.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
-67m
80b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue US$79.6b
Earnings US$13.3b
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