Capital Goods U.S. Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
Capital Goods U.S. Investing Ideas
The Infrastructure AI Cannot Be Built Without
Synopsis Approximately 80% of Gen Z university students are "concerned" or "very concerned" about climate change, with many extending this anxiety to the environmental toll of AI. Headlines warn of data centres drinking millions of litres of water daily, but water is the symptom, not the disease.Read more
Rocket Lab: Transitioning to a Diversified Space Infrastructure Platform
Rocket Lab is transitioning from a pure-play small launch provider into a vertically integrated space infrastructure company. The investment case rests on its ability to expand the total addressable market, improve unit economics, and compound revenue through a multi-segment operating model.Read more
The U.S. government's massive push for thousands of low-cost drones provides a massive floor for AVAV's valuation
Catalysts The bull case for AVAV isn't just about drones; it’s about ubiquity. In 20th-century warfare, air superiority required multi-million dollar jets and years of pilot training.Read more
Rocket lab path to profitability 2026
Rocklab path to profitability 2026 Rocket Lab (RKLB) has a clear strategy to reach profitability that revolves around transitioning from a "launch-only" company into a vertically integrated space prime. While the company currently reports record-breaking revenues ($155M in Q3 2025, up 48% YoY), it remains in a "heavy investment" phase primarily due to the development of its Neutron rocket.Read more
Rocket Lab USA Will Ignite a 30% Revenue Growth Journey
The global 'space economy' is forecasted to be worth ~$1.8 trillion by 2035. Roughly $800 billion is estimated to be made up of "backbone" business, such as satellites and rockets, and the services or software required to enable them, such as internet and positioning technologies.Read more
GE Vernova revenue will grow by 13% with a future PE of 64.7x
Revenue Growth : GE Vernova is expected to grow its revenue by 13% , contributing to a total revenue of US$77 billion. Earnings Forecast : Estimated earnings for 2030 are US$4.2 billion , translating into a market capitalization of US$270.06 billion , based on a 64.68x price-to-earnings ratio.Read more
La Trampa de la "Perfección": Por qué la Valoración de 50x de BWXT Ignora los Riesgos de Ejecución y Refinanciación
Conclusiones clave Valoración Desconectada de la Realidad Industrial: El mercado está pagando actualmente una prima de crecimiento tecnológico (P/E ~50x) por una empresa estrictamente industrial. Esta euforia ignora un historial de crecimiento de ganancias de solo el 0.2% en los últimos cinco años y asume, peligrosamente, una ejecución sin fricciones en nuevas tecnologías nucleares (SMR), las cuales están sujetas a procesos regulatorios notoriamente lentos y burocráticos.Read more
Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale
$RKLB Investment Thesis: early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale $RKLB is a top play for exposure to a vertically integrated space company; a lot rides on the success of the Neutron rocket The Bull Case: Neutron Unlocks Scale The current Electron rocket gives $RKLB a reliable, high-cadence launch with a track record (74+ flights) and market credibility.Read more
Firefly is a high-risk, high-reward play. The company’s got huge potential with NASA and defense contracts, but it’s still burning cash
Where do you think revenue will be in 5 years, and why? I think Firefly’s revenue could reach around $4–5 billion within five years.Read more
