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BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Followers
248
Total number of followers
Comments
30
Total number of comments
Member Since
2022
Date joined
Tesla
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Tesla's Supercomputer And Battery Technology Will Deliver Outstanding Growth And Transform The Automaker Into A Tech Powerhouse
Key Takeaways Tesla’s Dojo supercomputer will empower them to develop more powerful products. Dojo will elevate Tesla’s Autopilot and Self-driving technology to become market-leading.
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US$322.21
FV
22.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
18.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
149
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
40
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
Ford Motor
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Rising Labor Costs, Tight Competition And Stricter Credit Conditions Put Pressure On EBIT
Key Takeaways Ford’s failure to launch a meaningful EV campaign will see them lose out in Europe and Asia. Increase labor costs following Union strikes will put pressure on Automotive EBIT margins Strict credit conditions over the next few years will hurt Ford’s sales volumes and financing margins Catalysts Rising Competition In EV Market Will Limit Sales Growth Trajectory Ford was one of the many manufacturers that have had to realign their focus with climate action in mind.
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US$9.70
FV
3.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
Microsoft
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Declining Notebook Sales And A Shift Away From Console Gaming Will Hurt Earnings Growth Potential
Key Takeaways Competition from free Office Productivity software will likely cause seat growth to decline for home and commercial customers Increased smartphone compute power and diminishing compute needs will see Notebook sales decline A shift towards PC and mobile gaming will be detrimental to Xbox console sales and services Catalysts Stagnating Growth in Microsoft Office Revenue Microsoft’s Office suite has been a staple in workplaces and home offices for years, but competition from free cloud-based alternatives like Google Docs and other vendors like Apple, Cisco Systems, Meta, IBM, Okta, Proofpoint, Slack, Symantec, Zoom, and numerous web-based and mobile application competitors are jeopardising this key revenue stream. The issue for Microsoft here is simple; what matters most to customers is convenience, cost and simplicity, and with Office providing a similar product at an elevated price for consumers means that plenty of users which switch to alternatives like Google Moreover, there was a significant price hike in Microsoft 365 and Office 365 business prices by as much as 20 percent in March 2022.
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US$335.64
FV
16.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
52
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Intel
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Increased Competition In The Consumer And Commercial CPU Markets Will Impact Top Line Growth
Key Takeaways Poor thermal and energy efficiency will see Intel lose out to AMD in the server CPU market AMD and ARM will take market share from Intel in the consumer CPU segment Intel will see Notebook OEMs switching to AMD and ARM based chips for their efficiency gains Intel’s Arc GPUs won’t be able to catch up to Nvidia, leaving them without the scope to focus on AI Catalysts Struggling in the Data Center Market: Xeon SP CPUs Losing Ground As AMD Steps Up Intel's dominance in the data center CPU market has been a significant pillar of its success over the years, contributing around 30% to the company’s total sales. INTC Revenue & Earnings Breakdown - Simply Wall St However, recent trends suggest a concerning shift.
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US$19.66
FV
23.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
43
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
24
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
Meta Platforms
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Reality Labs Will Be A Costly And Unfruitful Bet, Impacting Earnings Power
Key Takeaways Reality Labs will continue to see underwhelming active user numbers despite unit sales growth Metaverse software like Horizon Worlds will struggle to take off due to concerns of an overly digital modern world Developer support for Metaverse apps will remain weak New user data measures will impact targeted advertising effectiveness Cost of revenue will increase on ad-related revenue streams due to a switch to AI Apps like Instagram and Facebook will begin to see a plateau in user growth in the US and Europe Catalysts Reality Labs & The Metaverse Is A High-Cost Bet with Diminishing Returns The company formerly known as Facebook took an undeniably ambitious leap into the future with its transformation into a metaverse-focused company. The strategic realignment was so significant, that the company decided to abandon the name it was known throughout the world as to now be known as Meta Platforms.
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US$527.02
FV
13.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.29%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
33
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Adobe
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Increasing Total Addressable Market Through AI Will Strengthen Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways Adopting new technology like AI, AR/VR and browser-first cloud software will keep Adobe on top of the creative industry. AI Integration will empower commercial users and help onboard new users by making workflows simpler.
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US$705.22
FV
45.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
16.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
35
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Caterpillar
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Slow Innovation Will Hurt Revenue Growth in Global Markets
Key Takeaways Shrinking stock buybacks will turn away investors who are seeking guaranteed capital returns. Caterpillar being late to electrify and automate their heavy machinery could see customers shift to more technologically advanced competitors.
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US$319.93
FV
5.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.09%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Advanced Micro Devices
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Hardware Efficiency And Pricing Strategies To Bolster Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways AMD's focus on thermal efficiency and new node advancements will see them overtake Intel in desktop CPU sales. AMD pricing strategy to undercut Nvidia in the Low-Mid end GPU markets will be a huge growth driver in the gaming segment.
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US$180.10
FV
40.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
16.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
45
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
44
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
NVIDIA
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Enterprise Hardware Segment To Drive Sales As AI Takes Over
Key Takeaways Nvidia is poised to capture a larger share of the growing Data Centre market thanks to class leading hardware supporting the most demanding applications Nvidia's hardware is the best on market for AI applications and greater AI implementation will mean greater the demand for Nvidia hardware. Nvidia's DRIVE autonomous vehicle platform opens the door for Nvidia to flourish in a $300 Billion market.
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US$141.74
FV
17.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
144
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
94
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
Walt Disney
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Competition And Production Cost Blowouts Will Hurt Cash Flows
Key Takeaways Increased licensing and production costs will see Disney's profitability decline or they'll pass on these increasing costs to subscribers and risk alienating them. Competition from non-traditional media platforms like YouTube or Tik-Tok could draw younger audiences away from Disney's services.
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US$95.94
FV
3.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.60%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
12
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Apple
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
EU Regulations And Poor Emerging Market Strategy Will Erode Margins And Limit Sales Growth
Key Takeaways Over-reliance on new market penetration could prove to be unfruitful, while the world continues to grapple with cost-of-living pressures. Poor emerging market strategy could lead to failure in India and South America due to prohibitive costs.
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US$207.71
FV
5.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.39%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set as Fair Value
74
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
29
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative