Caterpillar Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Caterpillar is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4.4% and 3.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 6.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 44% in 3 years.

Key information

4.4%

Earnings growth rate

6.9%

EPS growth rate

Machinery earnings growth10.7%
Revenue growth rate3.1%
Future return on equity44.0%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Caterpillar Inc. Just Recorded A 14% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Apr 27
Caterpillar Inc. Just Recorded A 14% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

The Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Full-Year Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

Feb 20
The Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Full-Year Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

Recent updates

Caterpillar: Macroeconomic Outlook For 2025 Signals Trouble For Heavy Equipment

Dec 29

What Is Caterpillar Inc.'s (NYSE:CAT) Share Price Doing?

Dec 08
What Is Caterpillar Inc.'s (NYSE:CAT) Share Price Doing?

Caterpillar Is Good, But Not Quite Great

Dec 02

Why Caterpillar Is The Industrial Giant I'm Betting On For The Next Decade

Nov 23

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Passed With Ease

Nov 13
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Passed With Ease

Caterpillar Q3: There Are More Pressing Issues Than The Earnings Miss

Oct 30

Is Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Oct 27
Is Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Caterpillar: 4 Major CATalysts

Oct 23

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT)

Oct 15
Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT)

Does Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Oct 04
Does Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Caterpillar: The Macroeconomic Factors Fueling Its Resilience (Rating Upgrade)

Sep 22

Caterpillar Inc.'s (NYSE:CAT) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Sep 16
Caterpillar Inc.'s (NYSE:CAT) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Caterpillar: Why I'd Wait Before Adding To Existing Position (Rating Downgrade)

Aug 29

At US$342, Is It Time To Put Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) On Your Watch List?

Aug 23
At US$342, Is It Time To Put Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) On Your Watch List?

Dividend Resilience: Unveiling Caterpillar's Secret Sauce

Aug 20

Caterpillar: Every Good Tale Must Come To An End

Aug 02

Why I Remain Bullish On Caterpillar Dividends

Jul 21

Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $1.41

Jul 19
Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $1.41

Here's Why Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Jul 16
Here's Why Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Investors Shouldn't Overlook Caterpillar's (NYSE:CAT) Impressive Returns On Capital

Jul 05
Investors Shouldn't Overlook Caterpillar's (NYSE:CAT) Impressive Returns On Capital

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)

Jun 24
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)

Caterpillar: Material Downside To Consensus Estimates

Jun 18

Caterpillar Inc.'s (NYSE:CAT) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Jun 13
Caterpillar Inc.'s (NYSE:CAT) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Caterpillar: Continued Upgrades Will Drive A Re-Rating; Buy

Jun 12

Is There Now An Opportunity In Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)?

May 22
Is There Now An Opportunity In Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)?

Caterpillar: The Dividend Aristocrat With A Growth Engine, A One-Stop Shop

May 18

Is Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) A Risky Investment?

May 11
Is Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) A Risky Investment?

Caterpillar Inc. Just Recorded A 14% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Apr 27
Caterpillar Inc. Just Recorded A 14% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Caterpillar: Market Leading Compounder With Limited Valuation Upside

Apr 15

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Passed With Ease

Apr 06
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Passed With Ease

The Trend Of High Returns At Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Has Us Very Interested

Mar 26
The Trend Of High Returns At Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Has Us Very Interested

Is Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Trading At A 35% Discount?

Mar 15
Is Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Trading At A 35% Discount?

Caterpillar: Delivered Impressive 2023 Earnings, The Stock Is Priced To Perfection

Mar 14

The Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Full-Year Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

Feb 20
The Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Full-Year Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

Caterpillar: Why The Stock Has Upside Potential From Current Levels

Feb 11

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:CAT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202785,15912,63611,04113,4191
12/31/202668,83211,25510,12012,48212
12/31/202565,42910,5029,72611,95915
12/31/202464,78510,4629,86511,89817
9/30/202465,66410,6779,61312,645N/A
6/30/202466,36811,00710,04613,136N/A
3/31/202466,99711,24810,28613,364N/A
12/31/202367,06010,3359,79312,885N/A
9/30/202366,5879,1138,67511,621N/A
6/30/202364,7718,3607,26010,042N/A
3/31/202361,7007,1116,3569,026N/A
12/31/202259,4276,7055,1677,766N/A
9/30/202256,6287,3713,7636,439N/A
6/30/202254,0316,7563,0525,698N/A
3/31/202252,6736,4962,9365,583N/A
12/31/202150,9716,4894,7267,198N/A
9/30/202148,4085,1495,5477,858N/A
6/30/202145,8924,3915,6357,852N/A
3/31/202143,0003,4365,0547,125N/A
12/31/202041,7482,9984,2126,327N/A
9/30/202043,6573,3164,3856,689N/A
6/30/202046,5344,1423,2825,724N/A
3/31/202050,9695,3044,2516,921N/A
12/31/201953,8006,0934,2436,912N/A
9/30/201954,9986,0433,9186,561N/A
6/30/201955,7506,2764,5717,184N/A
3/31/201955,3296,3634,0386,744N/A
12/31/201854,7226,1473,6426,558N/A
9/30/201853,2763,8002,1885,016N/A
6/30/201851,1793,132N/A4,865N/A
3/31/201848,4992,227N/A5,099N/A
12/31/201745,462754N/A5,706N/A
9/30/201742,140882N/A6,826N/A
6/30/201739,887106N/A6,756N/A
3/31/201738,898-146N/A6,688N/A
12/31/201638,537-67N/A5,639N/A
9/30/201639,9931,010N/A5,786N/A
6/30/201641,7951,286N/A6,121N/A
3/31/201643,7701,538N/A5,895N/A
12/31/201547,0112,512N/A6,699N/A
9/30/201550,2253,363N/A6,735N/A
6/30/201552,8123,821N/A7,281N/A
3/31/201554,6454,018N/A7,430N/A
12/31/201455,1842,452N/A8,057N/A
9/30/201455,3423,941N/A8,766N/A
6/30/201455,2163,870N/A9,732N/A
3/31/201455,6873,831N/A10,664N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CAT's forecast earnings growth (4.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: CAT's earnings (4.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CAT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: CAT's revenue (3.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CAT's revenue (3.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CAT's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (44%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/19 03:27
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Caterpillar Inc. is covered by 66 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
William GraceAvondale Partners
Mircea DobreBaird