Stock Analysis

Triumph Financial (NASDAQ:TFIN) stock performs better than its underlying earnings growth over last three years

NasdaqGS:TFIN
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The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But in contrast you can make much more than 100% if the company does well. For instance the Triumph Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ:TFIN) share price is 134% higher than it was three years ago. How nice for those who held the stock! Also pleasing for shareholders was the 19% gain in the last three months.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Triumph Financial investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.

Check out our latest analysis for Triumph Financial

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Triumph Financial was able to grow its EPS at 24% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 33% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:TFIN Earnings Per Share Growth March 30th 2023

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Triumph Financial's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

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A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 12% in the twelve months, Triumph Financial shareholders did even worse, losing 38%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 8% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Triumph Financial better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Triumph Financial .

Triumph Financial is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Triumph Financial might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.