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Assessing Simmons First National (SFNC) Valuation Following Recent Share Price Gain

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
See our latest analysis for Simmons First National.
Simmons First National’s recent share price move stands out against a rocky year. Today’s uptick offers a counterpoint to the longer-term trend. Although the share price has slipped by 12.8% so far this year and the 1-year total shareholder return is down 13%, recent volatility has some investors wondering if renewed momentum could be building from these levels.
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After recent turbulence and a slide in share price, is Simmons First National now trading at an appealing discount, or have shares accurately reflected its prospects for growth ahead? Could this be a real buying opportunity, or is the market already one step ahead?
Most Popular Narrative: 17% Undervalued
With Simmons First National closing at $18.93 versus a narrative fair value of $22.80, market watchers are seeing room for the stock price to move. This gap anchors a narrative that blends forward-looking financial momentum with transformative bank industry trends.
Strong regional trends, digital investments, and strategic hiring are improving Simmons' competitive positioning and supporting sustainable growth in loans, deposits, and revenues. Loan portfolio shifts and robust commercial pipelines are driving higher margins and profitability, with above-average growth prospects for upcoming quarters.
Think the jump in fair value is just hype? The narrative’s bold price tag is built on a blend of top-line expansion, margin gains, and ambitious profit growth. Want to know the detailed financial projections and what has analysts so confident? Only the full narrative reveals the hidden math driving this valuation.
Result: Fair Value of $22.80 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, rising expenses and ongoing competitive loan pricing could challenge Simmons First National’s growth and put pressure on its earnings outlook in the quarters ahead.
Find out about the key risks to this Simmons First National narrative.
Build Your Own Simmons First National Narrative
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A great starting point for your Simmons First National research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:SFNC
Simmons First National
Operates as the bank holding company for Simmons Bank that provides banking and other financial products and services to individuals and businesses.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.
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