Stock Analysis

Casing Macron Technology (GTSM:3325) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Casing Macron Technology Co., Ltd. (GTSM:3325) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Casing Macron Technology

What Is Casing Macron Technology's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Casing Macron Technology had NT$558.5m of debt, an increase on NT$295.1m, over one year. However, it also had NT$253.6m in cash, and so its net debt is NT$304.9m.

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GTSM:3325 Debt to Equity History March 24th 2021

A Look At Casing Macron Technology's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Casing Macron Technology had liabilities of NT$1.17b falling due within a year, and liabilities of NT$20.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of NT$253.6m and NT$1.21b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast NT$278.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Casing Macron Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Casing Macron Technology's net debt is only 0.87 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 68.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Casing Macron Technology grew its EBIT by 354% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Casing Macron Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last two years, Casing Macron Technology actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Happily, Casing Macron Technology's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Casing Macron Technology is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 6 warning signs for Casing Macron Technology (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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