When close to half the companies in Poland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 11x, you may consider CD Projekt S.A. (WSE:CDR) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 24x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
CD Projekt certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for CD Projekt
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CD Projekt will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like CD Projekt's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 40% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 60% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.8% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that CD Projekt's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of CD Projekt's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for CD Projekt with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
You might be able to find a better investment than CD Projekt. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:CDR
CD Projekt
Together its subsidiaries, engages in the development, publishing, and digital distribution of video games for personal computers and video game consoles in Poland.
Exceptional growth potential with flawless balance sheet.