Stock Analysis

Orkla ASA (OB:ORK) Just Released Its Full-Year Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

It's been a good week for Orkla ASA (OB:ORK) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest annual results, and the shares gained 3.1% to kr108. It looks like the results were a bit of a negative overall. While revenues of kr71b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings were less than expected, missing estimates by 4.2% to hit kr6.06 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

View our latest analysis for Orkla

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OB:ORK Earnings and Revenue Growth February 17th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, Orkla's six analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be kr71.1b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 7.4% to kr6.53. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr72.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr6.56 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of kr106, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Orkla at kr120 per share, while the most bearish prices it at kr92.00. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Orkla's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 0.6% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 11% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 7.9% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Orkla is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at kr106, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Orkla analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Orkla , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OB:ORK

Orkla

Operates as an industrial investment company within brands and consumer-oriented businesses in Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, the Baltics, rest of Europe, and internationally.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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