Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

ENXTAM:UMG
Source: Shutterstock

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

Check out our latest analysis for Universal Music Group

How Quickly Is Universal Music Group Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. Universal Music Group managed to grow EPS by 12% per year, over three years. That growth rate is fairly good, assuming the company can keep it up.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. Universal Music Group maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 6.8% to €11b. That's progress.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTAM:UMG Earnings and Revenue History September 5th 2024

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for Universal Music Group's future profits.

Are Universal Music Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

The good news for Universal Music Group is that one insider has illustrated their belief in the company's future with a huge purchase of shares in the last 12 months. In one fell swoop, Non-Independent & Non-Executive Director William Ackman, spent €6.4m, at a price of €23.34 per share. Big insider buys like that are a rarity and should prompt discussion on the merits of the business.

Along with the insider buying, another encouraging sign for Universal Music Group is that insiders, as a group, have a considerable shareholding. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at €12b. That equates to 28% of the company, making insiders powerful and aligned with other shareholders. So there is opportunity here to invest in a company whose management have tangible incentives to deliver.

Is Universal Music Group Worth Keeping An Eye On?

One important encouraging feature of Universal Music Group is that it is growing profits. Better yet, insiders are significant shareholders, and have been buying more shares. That should do plenty in prompting budding investors to undertake a bit more research - or even adding the company to their watchlists. You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Universal Music Group you should be aware of.

The good news is that Universal Music Group is not the only stock with insider buying. Here's a list of small cap, undervalued companies in NL with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.