Universal Music Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Universal Music Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 6.5% and 6.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 35.3% in 3 years.
Key information
6.5%
Earnings growth rate
5.6%
EPS growth rate
| Entertainment earnings growth | 23.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 6.2% |
| Future return on equity | 35.3% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 17 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)
Nov 27
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)
Oct 15A Look Into Universal Music Group's (AMS:UMG) Impressive Returns On Capital
Oct 02Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Sep 19Here's Why We Think Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
Sep 05A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)
Jul 18Many Would Be Envious Of Universal Music Group's (AMS:UMG) Excellent Returns On Capital
Jun 18Universal Music Group N.V.'s (AMS:UMG) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't
Jun 04Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
May 22Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)?
May 08Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Has Announced A Dividend Of €0.27
Apr 25Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Universal Music Group N.V.'s (AMS:UMG) Shares
Mar 01Does This Valuation Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?
Dec 20Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 13,271 | 1,797 | 1,941 | 2,404 | 16 |
| 12/31/2025 | 12,447 | 1,536 | 1,726 | 2,152 | 17 |
| 12/31/2024 | 11,667 | 1,449 | 1,053 | 1,741 | 18 |
| 6/30/2024 | 11,486 | 1,548 | 1,489 | 1,627 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 11,297 | 1,404 | 1,627 | 1,756 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 11,108 | 1,259 | 1,764 | 1,885 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 10,931 | 1,213 | 1,706 | 1,819 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 10,754 | 1,166 | 1,647 | 1,753 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 10,547 | 974 | 1,643 | 1,743 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 10,340 | 782 | 1,639 | 1,732 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 9,874 | 729 | 1,411 | 1,497 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 9,407 | 675 | 1,183 | 1,262 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 9,062 | 872 | 1,421 | 1,491 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 8,504 | 886 | 1,079 | 1,140 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 8,154 | 985 | 1,115 | 1,171 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 7,804 | 1,083 | 1,150 | 1,202 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 7,472 | 1,412 | 83 | 140 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 7,432 | 1,366 | 860 | 926 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,159 | 972 | 610 | 685 | N/A |
| 1/1/2019 | 6,023 | 897 | 637 | 747 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: UMG's forecast earnings growth (6.5% per year) is above the savings rate (1.2%).
Earnings vs Market: UMG's earnings (6.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Dutch market (15.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: UMG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: UMG's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Dutch market (8.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: UMG's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: UMG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (35.3%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/19 19:50 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/19 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Universal Music Group N.V. is covered by 29 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| JULIEN ROCH | Barclays |
| William Packer | BNP Paribas Exane |
| Adrien de Saint Hilaire | BofA Global Research |