Stock Analysis

USS Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4732) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

TSE:4732
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When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may consider USS Co., Ltd. (TSE:4732) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 18.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

USS certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for USS

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4732 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 7th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on USS will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For USS?

USS' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 13% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 423% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.2% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.8% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that USS is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From USS' P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that USS currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for USS with six simple checks.

If you're unsure about the strength of USS' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.