Stock Analysis

Is Inforich (TSE:9338) A Risky Investment?

TSE:9338
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Inforich Inc. (TSE:9338) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Inforich

What Is Inforich's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Inforich had JP¥1.73b of debt, up from JP¥767.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has JP¥4.83b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥3.10b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:9338 Debt to Equity History April 16th 2024

How Healthy Is Inforich's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Inforich had liabilities of JP¥4.90b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥774.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥4.83b in cash and JP¥849.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

This state of affairs indicates that Inforich's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the JP¥45.7b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Inforich has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Inforich turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of JP¥604m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Inforich's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Inforich may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last year, Inforich actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Inforich has net cash of JP¥3.10b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 212% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in JP¥1.3b. So is Inforich's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Inforich you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Inforich is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.