To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Fos (BIT:FOS) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Fos, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.079 = €980k ÷ (€18m - €5.3m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
Thus, Fos has an ROCE of 7.9%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 7.9%, it's still a low return by itself.
Check out our latest analysis for Fos
In the above chart we have measured Fos' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Fos here for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Fos doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 12% over the last two years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
The Bottom Line On Fos' ROCE
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Fos. Furthermore the stock has climbed 28% over the last year, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Fos (including 2 which don't sit too well with us) .
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BIT:FOS
Excellent balance sheet and good value.