If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Iveco Group (BIT:IVG) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Iveco Group is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.08 = €568m ÷ (€16b - €9.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
So, Iveco Group has an ROCE of 8.0%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 7.9%, it's still a low return by itself.
See our latest analysis for Iveco Group
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Iveco Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Iveco Group here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
Things have been pretty stable at Iveco Group, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last four years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at Iveco Group in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger.
On a side note, Iveco Group's current liabilities are still rather high at 56% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Bottom Line
In summary, Iveco Group isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Since the stock has gained an impressive 58% over the last year, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Iveco Group, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:IVG
Iveco Group
Engages in the design, production, marketing, sale, servicing, and financing of trucks, commercial vehicles, buses and specialty vehicles for firefighting, defense, and other applications worldwide.
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.