Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For InterGlobe Aviation Limited (NSE:INDIGO)

NSEI:INDIGO
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Airlines industry in India have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, InterGlobe Aviation Limited (NSE:INDIGO) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 2.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for InterGlobe Aviation

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:INDIGO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 19th 2024

What Does InterGlobe Aviation's Recent Performance Look Like?

InterGlobe Aviation could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on InterGlobe Aviation.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as InterGlobe Aviation's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 35% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 290% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 12% during the coming year according to the eleven analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 17% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's alarming that InterGlobe Aviation's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does InterGlobe Aviation's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It comes as a surprise to see InterGlobe Aviation trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for InterGlobe Aviation that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether InterGlobe Aviation is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.