Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Castro Model (TLV:CAST) Is Using Debt Extensively

TASE:CAST
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Castro Model Ltd. (TLV:CAST) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Castro Model

What Is Castro Model's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Castro Model had ₪212.7m of debt in June 2022, down from ₪298.8m, one year before. However, it does have ₪300.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₪87.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:CAST Debt to Equity History October 4th 2022

A Look At Castro Model's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Castro Model had liabilities of ₪519.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₪951.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₪300.0m in cash and ₪117.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪1.05b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪636.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Castro Model would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. Given that Castro Model has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.

Shareholders should be aware that Castro Model's EBIT was down 26% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Castro Model's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Castro Model may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Castro Model actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

While Castro Model does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of ₪87.3m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of ₪82m, being 156% of its EBIT. Despite the cash, we do find Castro Model's level of total liabilities concerning, so we're not particularly comfortable with the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Castro Model (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.