Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Xiaomi Corporation (HKG:1810) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Xiaomi
What Is Xiaomi's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Xiaomi had debt of CN¥27.9b, up from CN¥23.6b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥107.7b in cash, so it actually has CN¥79.9b net cash.
How Healthy Is Xiaomi's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Xiaomi had liabilities of CN¥115.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥44.4b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥107.7b as well as receivables valued at CN¥38.5b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥13.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Xiaomi has a humongous market capitalization of CN¥449.3b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Xiaomi also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Better yet, Xiaomi grew its EBIT by 140% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Xiaomi's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Xiaomi may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Xiaomi recorded free cash flow worth 67% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Xiaomi's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥79.9b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 140% over the last year. So is Xiaomi's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Xiaomi .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1810
Xiaomi
An investment holding company, provides hardware and software services in Mainland China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.