Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, First Tractor Company Limited (HKG:38) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for First Tractor
What Is First Tractor's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 First Tractor had CN¥508.8m of debt, an increase on CN¥411.2m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥4.80b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥4.29b.
How Healthy Is First Tractor's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that First Tractor had liabilities of CN¥7.12b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥296.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.80b in cash and CN¥1.62b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥994.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded First Tractor shares are worth a total of CN¥12.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, First Tractor boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
On top of that, First Tractor grew its EBIT by 47% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine First Tractor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While First Tractor has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, First Tractor actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that First Tractor has CN¥4.29b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 325% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.3b. So is First Tractor's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for First Tractor that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:38
First Tractor
Engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of agricultural and power machinery, and related products worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.