First Tractor Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

First Tractor is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 20.8% and 12.3% per annum respectively.

Key information

20.8%

Earnings growth rate

n/a

EPS growth rate

Machinery earnings growth	14.9%
Revenue growth rate	12.3%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	29 Nov 2023

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By First Tractor Company Limited's (HKG:38) Earnings Despite 34% Price Jump

Apr 28

Is First Tractor (HKG:38) Using Too Much Debt?

Apr 17

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In First Tractor's (HKG:38) Earnings

Apr 03

Here's Why We Think First Tractor (HKG:38) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Mar 20

First Tractor Company Limited's (HKG:38) Shares Leap 25% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Feb 19

Is There Now An Opportunity In First Tractor Company Limited (HKG:38)?

Jan 31

First Tractor (HKG:38) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Jan 16

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And First Tractor (HKG:38) Passed With Ease

Nov 28

First Tractor (HKG:38) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Aug 30

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At First Tractor (HKG:38)

May 04

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For First Tractor's (HKG:38) Returns On Capital

Sep 30

The Case For First Tractor Company Limited (HKG:38): Could It Be A Nice Addition To Your Dividend Portfolio?

Apr 26

Is First Tractor (HKG:38) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Jan 18

Here's Why We Don't Think First Tractor's (HKG:38) Statutory Earnings Reflect Its Underlying Earnings Potential

Dec 20

Are Institutions Heavily Invested In First Tractor Company Limited's (HKG:38) Shares?

Nov 24

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:38 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2025	14,855	1,575	N/A	3,023	1
12/31/2024	13,136	1,212	N/A	2,509	1
3/31/2024	11,995	1,111	1,040	1,149	N/A
12/31/2023	11,534	997	967	1,056	N/A
9/30/2023	12,495	970	1,289	1,372	N/A
6/30/2023	13,182	854	1,197	1,281	N/A
3/31/2023	12,510	686	3,634	3,711	N/A
12/31/2022	12,564	681	3,508	3,602	N/A
9/30/2022	11,424	565	2,750	2,850	N/A
6/30/2022	10,332	508	3,100	3,184	N/A
3/31/2022	10,334	531	379	434	N/A
12/31/2021	9,334	438	514	582	N/A
9/30/2021	9,350	472	1,880	1,941	N/A
6/30/2021	9,098	468	1,402	1,470	N/A
3/30/2021	8,734	470	1,398	1,519	N/A
12/31/2020	7,582	280	1,168	1,249	N/A
9/30/2020	7,097	469	765	979	N/A
6/30/2020	6,521	365	115	345	N/A
3/31/2020	5,786	215	-162	57	N/A
12/31/2019	5,830	61	82	331	N/A
9/30/2019	5,932	-833	-52	126	N/A
6/30/2019	5,526	-1,136	334	537	N/A
3/31/2019	5,464	-1,303	222	440	N/A
12/31/2018	5,682	-1,300	-653	-384	N/A
9/30/2018	6,171	-414	-507	-302	N/A
6/30/2018	6,675	-121	-350	-89	N/A
3/31/2018	7,027	40	-1,189	-868	N/A
12/31/2017	7,358	57	N/A	-556	N/A
9/30/2017	7,520	51	N/A	187	N/A
6/30/2017	7,975	104	N/A	657	N/A
3/31/2017	8,484	201	N/A	1,525	N/A
12/31/2016	8,869	230	N/A	2,093	N/A
9/30/2016	8,774	174	N/A	1,451	N/A
6/30/2016	9,106	145	N/A	869	N/A
3/31/2016	9,663	137	N/A	1,291	N/A
12/31/2015	9,655	135	N/A	638	N/A
9/30/2015	9,505	249	N/A	971	N/A
6/30/2015	9,262	204	N/A	697	N/A
3/31/2015	8,990	159	N/A	52	N/A
12/31/2014	9,027	168	N/A	75	N/A
9/30/2014	9,687	106	N/A	-283	N/A
6/30/2014	9,897	153	N/A	284	N/A
3/31/2014	11,053	218	N/A	-219	N/A
12/31/2013	11,058	227	N/A	-142	N/A
9/30/2013	11,195	258	N/A	700	N/A
6/30/2013	11,452	250	N/A	-255	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 38's forecast earnings growth (20.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.2%).

Earnings vs Market: 38's earnings (20.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (12.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 38's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 38's revenue (12.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 38's revenue (12.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if 38's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

First Tractor Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

First Tractor Company Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

First Tractor Company Limited Provides Earnings Outlook for the Year 2021

Recent updates

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By First Tractor Company Limited's (HKG:38) Earnings Despite 34% Price Jump

First quarter 2024 earnings released

Dividend of CN¥0.32 announced

First Tractor Company Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 29, 2024

Is First Tractor (HKG:38) Using Too Much Debt?

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In First Tractor's (HKG:38) Earnings

First Tractor Company Limited to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 26, 2024

First Tractor Company Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Financial Year End 31 December 2023, Payable on 31 July 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.89 (vs CN¥0.61 in FY 2022)

Here's Why We Think First Tractor (HKG:38) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

First Tractor Company Limited's (HKG:38) Shares Leap 25% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Is There Now An Opportunity In First Tractor Company Limited (HKG:38)?

First Tractor Company Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

First Tractor (HKG:38) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

First Tractor Company Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 28, 2024

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And First Tractor (HKG:38) Passed With Ease

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.29 (vs CN¥0.19 in 3Q 2022)

First Tractor Company Limited Announces Changes of directorate

First Tractor Company Limited to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 28, 2023

First Tractor (HKG:38) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.24 (vs CN¥0.09 in 2Q 2022)

First Tractor Company Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 29, 2023

First Tractor Company Limited Approves Dividend for the Financial Year Ended 31 December 2022, Payable on 06 July 2023

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.23 per share at 6.6% yield

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At First Tractor (HKG:38)

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.61 (vs CN¥0.39 in FY 2021)

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Third quarter 2022 earnings released

First Tractor Company Limited Announces Resignation of Mr. Ma Zhihui as A Non-Executive Director and A Member of the Remuneration Committee of the Board of Directors

First Tractor Company Limited to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 27, 2022

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For First Tractor's (HKG:38) Returns On Capital

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.09 (vs CN¥0.11 in 2Q 2021)

First Tractor Company Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 25, 2022

First Tractor Company Limited Announces Resignation of Su Ye as Financial Controller

High number of new and inexperienced directors

First Tractor Company Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on June 29, 2022

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.12 per share

High number of new and inexperienced directors

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Is First Tractor (HKG:38) Using Too Much Debt?

First Tractor Company Limited to Report Q1, 2022 Results on Apr 27, 2022

First Tractor Company Limited Announces Board Changes

First Tractor Company Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 13, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

First Tractor Company Limited Announces Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on July 31, 2022

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

First Tractor Company Limited Announces Management Retirement

First Tractor Company Limited Provides Earnings Outlook for the Year 2021

The Return Trends At First Tractor (HKG:38) Look Promising

First Tractor (HKG:38) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.14 (vs CN¥0.16 in 3Q 2020)

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.11 (vs CN¥0.13 in 2Q 2020)

Investors Will Want First Tractor's (HKG:38) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

With EPS Growth And More, First Tractor (HKG:38) Is Interesting

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Vice Chairman Jibo Cai has left the company

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.089 per share

First Tractor (HKG:38) Could Easily Take On More Debt

First Tractor Company Limited Proposes Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2020

Investors Will Want First Tractor's (HKG:38) Growth In ROCE To Persist

First quarter 2021 earnings released

The Case For First Tractor Company Limited (HKG:38): Could It Be A Nice Addition To Your Dividend Portfolio?

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.28 (vs CN¥0.062 in FY 2019)

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

First Tractor Company Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Mar 30, 2021

New 90-day high: HK$4.78

Investor sentiment improved over the past week