Stock Analysis

Does Aegean Airlines (ATH:AEGN) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

ATSE:AEGN
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The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Aegean Airlines (ATH:AEGN). Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.

See our latest analysis for Aegean Airlines

How Fast Is Aegean Airlines Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

Over the last three years, Aegean Airlines has grown earnings per share (EPS) at as impressive rate from a relatively low point, resulting in a three year percentage growth rate that isn't particularly indicative of expected future performance. So it would be better to isolate the growth rate over the last year for our analysis. In impressive fashion, Aegean Airlines' EPS grew from €0.91 to €2.06, over the previous 12 months. It's not often a company can achieve year-on-year growth of 125%. That could be a sign that the business has reached a true inflection point.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. Not all of Aegean Airlines' revenue this year is revenue from operations, so keep in mind the revenue and margin numbers used in this article might not be the best representation of the underlying business. Aegean Airlines shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 9.4% to 15%, and revenue is growing. Both of which are great metrics to check off for potential growth.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ATSE:AEGN Earnings and Revenue History January 25th 2024

While we live in the present moment, there's little doubt that the future matters most in the investment decision process. So why not check this interactive chart depicting future EPS estimates, for Aegean Airlines?

Are Aegean Airlines Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It's said that there's no smoke without fire. For investors, insider buying is often the smoke that indicates which stocks could set the market alight. Because often, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.

First things first, there weren't any reports of insiders selling shares in Aegean Airlines in the last 12 months. But the important part is that Executive Chairman Eftichios Vassilakis spent €451k buying stock, at an average price of €7.16. Big buys like that may signal an opportunity; actions speak louder than words.

Along with the insider buying, another encouraging sign for Aegean Airlines is that insiders, as a group, have a considerable shareholding. We note that their impressive stake in the company is worth €143m. Coming in at 14% of the business, that holding gives insiders a lot of influence, and plenty of reason to generate value for shareholders. Looking very optimistic for investors.

Is Aegean Airlines Worth Keeping An Eye On?

Aegean Airlines' earnings have taken off in quite an impressive fashion. The cherry on top is that insiders own a bunch of shares, and one has been buying more. This quick rundown suggests that the business may be of good quality, and also at an inflection point, so maybe Aegean Airlines deserves timely attention. We should say that we've discovered 1 warning sign for Aegean Airlines that you should be aware of before investing here.

The good news is that Aegean Airlines is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of growth-focused companies in GR with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Aegean Airlines is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.