Returns On Capital Signal Difficult Times Ahead For FD Technologies (LON:FDP)

If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. Having said that, after a brief look, FD Technologies (LON:FDP) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.

Advertisement

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on FD Technologies is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.03 = UK£7.2m ÷ (UK£374m - UK£137m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to February 2023).

Therefore, FD Technologies has an ROCE of 3.0%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Software industry average of 8.7%.

Check out our latest analysis for FD Technologies

roce
AIM:FDP Return on Capital Employed October 25th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for FD Technologies compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering FD Technologies here for free.

The Trend Of ROCE

In terms of FD Technologies' historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, the ROCE was 8.9% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect FD Technologies to turn into a multi-bagger.

On a side note, FD Technologies' current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 37% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 3.0%. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.

The Bottom Line On FD Technologies' ROCE

In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Unsurprisingly then, the stock has dived 72% over the last five years, so investors are recognizing these changes and don't like the company's prospects. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

If you're still interested in FD Technologies it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

MI
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

A landmark settlement is meant to punish Meta (META). If the 1998 tobacco deal is any guide, it might protect it.

A landmark settlement is meant to punish Meta (META). If the 1998 tobacco deal is any guide, it might protect it. cover
138
ZO
zoe_vi5fn

Any moat with an opt-out clause for your competitors is just a fence around your own garden.

CO
connor_iwn1g

Worth looking at what previous legal action actually did to Meta rather than reaching for tobacco. The FTC's record five billion dollar privacy fine in 2019 was met with the stock rising, because it came in below fears and removed an open question. GDPR was designed to constrain large platforms and increased their share of the European ad market, because compliance cost fell hardest on small intermediaries. The FTC's antitrust case, the one that could genuinely have broken the company up, was decided in Meta's favour last November. The only thing that ever meaningfully hurt the business was Apple changing a tracking default, and Meta out-spent that too, while the ad-tech firms that could not afford to rebuild disappeared. The pattern is not that Meta survives regulation. It is that regulation keeps costing its smaller competitors more.

Andrew Legget

Great earnings season, but are the earnings real?

Great earnings season, but are the earnings real? cover
At first glance, this was the strongest earnings season in years. But when you look at where the growth actually came from, the story splits into two very different pictures.
10

About AIM:FDP

FD Technologies

Provides software and consulting services in the United Kingdom and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with concerning outlook.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

LO
Lou_Basenese
ONCY logo
Lou_Basenese on Oncolytics Biotech ·

The Team Behind a $2 Billion Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Deal Just Took Over This $105 Million Cancer Biotech

Fair Value:US$3.575.5% undervalued
27 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative
TR
tripledub
Recommended Voice
META logo
tripledub on Meta Platforms ·

The $135 Billion Bet That Should Make Every Shareholder Nervous

Fair Value:US$5861.4% undervalued
59 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
34 users have liked this narrative
TA
Talos
Emerging Author
VOYG logo
Talos on Voyager Technologies ·

The "Landlord of Orbit" – A Deep Value Play Ahead of the Starlab Era

Fair Value:US$385.291.1% undervalued
63 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
IV
Emerging Author
UBER logo
Ivoed on Uber Technologies ·

Uber’s Valuation Depends On Who Captures The Economics Of Driverless Rides

Fair Value:US$11632.1% undervalued
12 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
3 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

DA
RHT logo
dang on Resonance Health ·

Resonance Health will triple revenue growth to 30.83% in five years

Fair Value:AU$0.08331.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Santacruz Silver, 5.6M Oz Silver Producer Trading at Low Multiples, 100X Per-Share Upside in $200 Silver

Fair Value:CA$142.990.7% undervalued
96 users have followed this narrative
14 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
CO
composite32
ETN logo
composite32 on Eaton ·

"Grid-to-Chip: How Eaton Controls the Physical Bottlenecks of AI Data Centers"

Fair Value:US$517.0622.1% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

OS
oscargarcia
NVDA logo
oscargarcia on NVIDIA ·

The company that went from selling GPUs to gamers to becoming the AI arms dealer of the 21st century.

Fair Value:US$28022.3% undervalued
364 users have followed this narrative
9 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative
CU
MSFT logo
CubanEros on Microsoft ·

A wonderful business at reasonable price.

Fair Value:US$419.9122.3% overvalued
213 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative
KI
AMZN logo
KiwiInvest on Amazon.com ·

Amazon's high growth, high tech segments propel its profits, while traditional segments plod along

Fair Value:US$475.0943.9% undervalued
240 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion