Stock Analysis

UK Stocks Including Serica Energy That May Be Priced Below Intrinsic Estimates

The United Kingdom's stock market has recently faced challenges, as evidenced by the FTSE 100 index closing lower due to weak trade data from China and declining commodity prices affecting key sectors. In this environment, investors may find potential opportunities in stocks that are priced below their intrinsic value, such as Serica Energy and others, which could offer resilience amidst global economic uncertainties.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United Kingdom

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
SigmaRoc (AIM:SRC)£1.182£2.3249%
Pinewood Technologies Group (LSE:PINE)£4.01£7.8548.9%
PageGroup (LSE:PAGE)£2.348£4.4647.3%
On the Beach Group (LSE:OTB)£2.17£4.2849.3%
Hollywood Bowl Group (LSE:BOWL)£2.555£4.9348.2%
Gym Group (LSE:GYM)£1.47£2.9349.8%
Gooch & Housego (AIM:GHH)£5.80£11.2448.4%
Begbies Traynor Group (AIM:BEG)£1.16£2.2247.6%
AstraZeneca (LSE:AZN)£128.06£239.4746.5%
Advanced Medical Solutions Group (AIM:AMS)£2.27£4.3948.3%

Click here to see the full list of 56 stocks from our Undervalued UK Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

Serica Energy (AIM:SQZ)

Overview: Serica Energy plc, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on identifying, acquiring, and exploiting oil and gas reserves in the United Kingdom and has a market capitalization of £749.89 million.

Operations: The company generates $570.52 million from its oil and gas exploration, development, production, and related activities.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 45.4%

Serica Energy is trading at £1.91, significantly below its estimated fair value of £3.5, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a recent net loss of US$43.09 million for H1 2025, the company is poised for profitability within three years and forecasts a revenue growth rate of 6% annually, outpacing the UK market average. The ongoing ramp-up in production from key North Sea assets could bolster future cash flows and support M&A activities.

AIM:SQZ Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
AIM:SQZ Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

AstraZeneca (LSE:AZN)

Overview: AstraZeneca PLC is a biopharmaceutical company engaged in the discovery, development, manufacture, and commercialization of prescription medicines with a market cap of approximately £198.58 billion.

Operations: AstraZeneca's revenue is primarily derived from its pharmaceuticals segment, totaling $56.50 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 46.5%

AstraZeneca trades at £128.06, well below its estimated fair value of £239.47, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Recent announcements highlight promising developments in its drug pipeline, such as the successful Bax24 Phase III trial for baxdrostat in hypertension and advancements in breast cancer treatments with DATROWAY®. Despite high debt levels, AstraZeneca's forecasted earnings growth of 15.62% annually outpaces the UK market average, suggesting robust future cash flow potential amidst ongoing product innovation.

LSE:AZN Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
LSE:AZN Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Coats Group (LSE:COA)

Overview: Coats Group plc operates globally in the manufacturing of threads, structural components for apparel and footwear, and performance materials, with a market cap of £1.53 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include $775.30 million from apparel, $405.20 million from footwear, and $321.80 million from performance materials.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 37%

Coats Group is trading at £0.8, significantly below its estimated fair value of £1.27, reflecting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite recent shareholder dilution from a follow-on equity offering totaling approximately £250 million, Coats' earnings are expected to grow substantially at 27.5% annually, outpacing the UK market average of 14.2%. However, the company's dividend yield of 2.98% is not well covered by free cash flows and debt coverage remains a concern.

LSE:COA Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
LSE:COA Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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