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Serica Energy plcAIM:SQZ Stock Report

Market Cap UK£1.1b
Share Price
UK£2.76
UK£2.73
1.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y90.9%
7D5.3%
Portfolio Value
View

Serica Energy plc

AIM:SQZ Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.1b

Serica Energy (SQZ) Stock Overview

Serica Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, identifies, acquires, and exploits oil and gas reserves oil in the United Kingdom. More details

SQZ fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends1/6

SQZ Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 64 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Serica Energy plc Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Serica Energy
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£2.76
52 Week HighUK£3.02
52 Week LowUK£1.39
Beta-0.17
1 Month Change0.22%
3 Month Change29.77%
1 Year Change90.88%
3 Year Change22.84%
5 Year Change134.24%
Change since IPO169.66%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 01

SQZ: Future Returns Will Be Driven By 2026 Free Cash Flow Potential

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Serica Energy from about £3.14 to roughly £3.64 per share, citing updated assumptions around future revenue growth, margins, and a higher expected future P/E multiple. This change is supported by recent research that highlights potential for material free cash flow in 2026 and 2027, as well as a higher price target from £3.00 to £3.50.
Narrative Update Apr 17

SQZ: 2026 2027 Cash Flow Hinge On Execution And Commodity Assumptions

Analysts have lifted their price target on Serica Energy by £0.50 to £3.00, citing expectations for solid free cash flow generation in 2026 and 2027 and updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and the stock's future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a constructive long term view on Serica Energy, with an emphasis on potential free cash flow generation in 2026 and 2027 and a £3.00 price target.
Narrative Update Apr 03

SQZ: High 2026 Free Cash Flow Expectations Will Likely Prove Overly Optimistic

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Serica Energy to £2.50 from £1.89, pointing to updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E. This is supported by recent research citing expectations for "material" free cash flow in 2026 and 2027.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 01

SQZ: Future Returns Will Be Driven By 2026 Free Cash Flow Potential

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Serica Energy from about £3.14 to roughly £3.64 per share, citing updated assumptions around future revenue growth, margins, and a higher expected future P/E multiple. This change is supported by recent research that highlights potential for material free cash flow in 2026 and 2027, as well as a higher price target from £3.00 to £3.50.
Narrative Update Apr 17

SQZ: 2026 2027 Cash Flow Hinge On Execution And Commodity Assumptions

Analysts have lifted their price target on Serica Energy by £0.50 to £3.00, citing expectations for solid free cash flow generation in 2026 and 2027 and updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and the stock's future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a constructive long term view on Serica Energy, with an emphasis on potential free cash flow generation in 2026 and 2027 and a £3.00 price target.
Narrative Update Apr 03

SQZ: High 2026 Free Cash Flow Expectations Will Likely Prove Overly Optimistic

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Serica Energy to £2.50 from £1.89, pointing to updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E. This is supported by recent research citing expectations for "material" free cash flow in 2026 and 2027.
Analysis Article Mar 28

Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On Serica Energy plc (LON:SQZ)

Serica Energy plc ( LON:SQZ ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...
Narrative Update Mar 20

SQZ: Medium Term Cash Flows And Production Outlook Will Support Balanced Returns

Analysts have lifted their price target on Serica Energy to £3.00, with the change supported by expectations for material free cash flow in 2026 and 2027, as well as updated assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a price target of 300 GBp, with the core argument built around expectations for material free cash flow in 2026 and 2027, as well as updated assumptions around revenue, margins and future P/E.
Narrative Update Mar 06

SQZ: Future Returns Will Be Anchored By Rising 2026 Production Volumes

Analysts have raised their price target on Serica Energy slightly, to £3.14 from £3.11, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a lower projected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Reported fourth quarter 2025 production of 33,500 boepd, giving investors a fresh datapoint on recent operating performance (company announcement of operating results).
Narrative Update Feb 19

SQZ: Future Returns Will Be Anchored By Higher 2026 Production Volumes

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Serica Energy from £3.16 to £3.11, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher discount rate that also contribute to a lower future P/E expectation. What's in the News Reported fourth quarter 2025 production of 33,500 boepd, with full year 2025 average production of 27,600 boepd compared with 34,600 boepd a year earlier (company announcement of operating results).
Narrative Update Feb 05

SQZ: Rising Production And Expanded Resources Will Support Stronger Medium-Term Cash Flows

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Serica Energy from £2.48 to £2.57, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple as the key drivers of the change. What's in the News Serica Energy reported fourth quarter 2025 production of 33,500 boepd and full year 2025 average production of 27,600 boepd, compared with 34,600 boepd a year earlier (company announcement of operating results).
Analysis Article Feb 02

Serica Energy (LON:SQZ) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things...
Narrative Update Jan 22

SQZ: Future Returns Will Be Anchored By Rising North Sea Production Volumes

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Serica Energy, pointing to updated assumptions that pair revenue growth expectations of 14.36% with a projected profit margin of 14.27% and a future P/E of 17.57x. What's in the News Reported fourth quarter 2025 production of 33,500 boepd and full year 2025 average production of 27,600 boepd, with year to date 2026 production at 43,000 boepd and current rates around 50,000 boepd (Company announcement of operating results).
Narrative Update Jan 08

SQZ: Expanded North Sea Resources And Production Will Support Stronger Medium-Term Cash Flows

Analysts have nudged their price target on Serica Energy slightly higher to reflect an updated fair value estimate in line with revised assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Reported third quarter 2025 production of 27,500 boe per day, with average net production of 25,700 boe per day for the first nine months of 2025 (company announcement of operating results).
Narrative Update Dec 18

SQZ: Future Returns Will Be Driven By Expanded North Sea Resource Base

Analysts have raised their price target for Serica Energy from 2.70 to 3.07 per share, citing stronger expected revenue growth, improved profit margins, a modestly lower discount rate and a more attractive future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Third quarter 2025 production averaged 27,500 boe per day, with year to date average net production of 25,700 boe per day, underscoring stable operational performance (company announcement of operating results).
Narrative Update Dec 04

SQZ: Expanded North Sea Deals Will Drive Stronger Medium-Term Cash Flows

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Serica Energy slightly, cutting their fair value estimate from $2.49 to $2.45. This reflects a combination of modestly stronger revenue growth forecasts, lower profit margin expectations, and a higher projected earnings multiple.
Narrative Update Nov 20

SQZ: Expanded North Sea Portfolio Will Drive Stronger Medium-Term Production

Analysts have raised their price target for Serica Energy from £2.46 to £2.49, citing expectations of stronger revenue growth. They also noted a significant decrease in near-term profit margins.
Narrative Update Nov 01

SQZ: Resumed Production And Upcoming Acquisitions Will Drive Strong Upside

Serica Energy’s analyst price target has been raised from £2.41 to £2.46, as analysts cite improved forecasts for revenue growth and profit margin. What's in the News Production at the Triton FPSO resumed after a temporary suspension caused by an issue with the flare system.
Narrative Update Oct 18

Production Ramp Up And Drilling Success Will Unlock Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for Serica Energy from £2.38 to £2.41. They cited slightly higher projected revenue growth and a modest adjustment in the discount rate as key factors supporting the increase.
Analysis Article Oct 18

Serica Energy (LON:SQZ) Is Reducing Its Dividend To $0.06

Serica Energy plc's ( LON:SQZ ) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to $0.06 on...
Narrative Update Oct 04

Production Ramp Up And Drilling Success Will Unlock Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for Serica Energy from £2.26 to £2.38 per share. They cite modest improvements to revenue growth forecasts and a slightly lower projected discount rate as key drivers for the updated valuation.
Analysis Article Oct 01

Serica Energy (LON:SQZ) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Serica Energy plc's ( LON:SQZ ) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to $0.06 on...
Analysis Article Jun 21

Serica Energy (LON:SQZ) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.10

Serica Energy plc's ( LON:SQZ ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.10 per share on 25th of July. The yield is...
User avatar
New Narrative Feb 09

High-quality Reservoirs In Triton Will Promise Improved Efficiency, But Operational Downtime May Impact Margins

The company's strong operational expertise and high-quality asset base enhance production efficiency and potential revenue growth.
Analysis Article Dec 01

The Trend Of High Returns At Serica Energy (LON:SQZ) Has Us Very Interested

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Analysis Article Nov 13

Does Serica Energy (LON:SQZ) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Oct 08

Improved Earnings Required Before Serica Energy plc (LON:SQZ) Stock's 26% Jump Looks Justified

Serica Energy plc ( LON:SQZ ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand...

Shareholder Returns

SQZGB Oil and GasGB Market
7D5.3%-2.3%-0.9%
1Y90.9%33.9%20.0%

Return vs Industry: SQZ exceeded the UK Oil and Gas industry which returned 34.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: SQZ exceeded the UK Market which returned 19.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is SQZ's price volatile compared to industry and market?
SQZ volatility
SQZ Average Weekly Movement9.4%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement8.2%
Market Average Movement5.6%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market11.8%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: SQZ's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the UK market.

Volatility Over Time: SQZ's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of UK stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
n/a242Chris Coxwww.serica-energy.com

Serica Energy plc, together with its subsidiaries, identifies, acquires, and exploits oil and gas reserves oil in the United Kingdom. The company is headquartered in Aberdeen, the United Kingdom.

Serica Energy plc Fundamentals Summary

How do Serica Energy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
SQZ fundamental statistics
Market capUK£1.08b
Earnings (TTM)-UK£38.32m
Revenue (TTM)UK£444.75m
2.4x
P/S Ratio
-28.2x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
SQZ income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$601.43m
Cost of RevenueUS$536.69m
Gross ProfitUS$64.74m
Other ExpensesUS$116.56m
Earnings-US$51.82m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.13
Gross Margin10.76%
Net Profit Margin-8.62%
Debt/Equity Ratio33.1%

How did SQZ perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

5.8%
Current Dividend Yield
-163%
Payout Ratio

Does SQZ pay a reliable dividends?

See SQZ dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy SQZ by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Serica Energy dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateJun 25 2026
Dividend Pay DateJul 24 2026
Days until Ex dividend41 days
Days until Dividend pay date70 days

Does SQZ pay a reliable dividends?

See SQZ dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/13 12:24
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/13 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Serica Energy plc is covered by 17 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephane Guy FoucaudAuctus Advisors LLP
James CarmichaelBerenberg
Henry TarrBerenberg