Stock Analysis

Investing in Qt Group Oyj (HEL:QTCOM) five years ago would have delivered you a 654% gain

HLSE:QTCOM
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For many, the main point of investing in the stock market is to achieve spectacular returns. And we've seen some truly amazing gains over the years. To wit, the Qt Group Oyj (HEL:QTCOM) share price has soared 654% over five years. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 19% gain in the last three months. We love happy stories like this one. The company should be really proud of that performance!

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

View our latest analysis for Qt Group Oyj

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the five years of share price growth, Qt Group Oyj moved from a loss to profitability. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. In fact, the Qt Group Oyj stock price is 18% lower in the last three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 38% each year. It would appear there's a real mismatch between the increasing EPS and the share price, which has declined -7% a year for three years.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
HLSE:QTCOM Earnings Per Share Growth March 30th 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Qt Group Oyj's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Qt Group Oyj shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 14% over the last year. However, that falls short of the 50% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Qt Group Oyj better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Qt Group Oyj that you should be aware of.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Finnish exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Qt Group Oyj is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.