Qt Group Oyj Valuation

Is QTCOM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of QTCOM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: QTCOM (€66.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€113.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: QTCOM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for QTCOM?

Key metric: As QTCOM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for QTCOM. This is calculated by dividing QTCOM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is QTCOM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.6x
Earnings€46.35m
Market Cap€1.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does QTCOM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for QTCOM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.9x
IFA1V Innofactor Oyj
20.4xn/a€60.7m
TEM1V Tecnotree Oyj
2.9x8.5%€38.4m
HEEROS Heeros Oyj
40.1xn/a€29.5m
TIETO TietoEVRY Oyj
12.3x11.1%€2.0b
QTCOM Qt Group Oyj
36.6x21.8%€1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: QTCOM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.6x) compared to the peer average (18.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does QTCOM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QTCOM 36.6xIndustry Avg. 26.2xNo. of Companies18PE020406080100+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: QTCOM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.6x) compared to the European Software industry average (26.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is QTCOM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

QTCOM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.6x
Fair PE Ratio25x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: QTCOM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst QTCOM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€66.75
€87.00
+30.3%
9.4%€94.00€73.00n/a4
Dec ’25€68.45
€87.50
+27.8%
8.4%€94.00€75.00n/a4
Nov ’25€69.25
€89.00
+28.5%
10.1%€100.00€75.00n/a4
Oct ’25€91.70
€96.75
+5.5%
4.2%€100.00€90.00n/a4
Sep ’25€95.50
€96.75
+1.3%
4.2%€100.00€90.00n/a4
Aug ’25€82.00
€80.00
-2.4%
21.3%€98.00€48.00n/a5
Jul ’25€79.90
€78.00
-2.4%
21.1%€98.00€48.00n/a5
Jun ’25€80.95
€78.00
-3.6%
21.1%€98.00€48.00n/a5
May ’25€72.65
€78.00
+7.4%
21.1%€98.00€48.00n/a5
Apr ’25€76.50
€78.75
+2.9%
23.6%€98.00€48.00n/a4
Mar ’25€80.26
€75.25
-6.2%
20.9%€85.00€48.00n/a4
Feb ’25€68.10
€66.75
-2.0%
19.3%€84.00€48.00n/a4
Jan ’25€64.50
€69.67
+8.0%
5.3%€74.00€65.00n/a3
Dec ’24€64.12
€69.67
+8.7%
5.3%€74.00€65.00€68.453
Nov ’24€56.14
€72.33
+28.8%
9.9%€82.00€65.00€69.253
Oct ’24€52.04
€78.33
+50.5%
7.5%€83.00€70.00€91.703
Sep ’24€57.02
€78.33
+37.4%
7.5%€83.00€70.00€95.503
Aug ’24€75.20
€84.67
+12.6%
5.9%€90.00€78.00€82.003
Jul ’24€76.46
€84.67
+10.7%
5.9%€90.00€78.00€79.903
Jun ’24€84.82
€84.67
-0.2%
5.9%€90.00€78.00€80.953
May ’24€77.94
€80.67
+3.5%
9.1%€90.00€72.00€72.653
Apr ’24€67.04
€77.33
+15.4%
4.9%€80.00€72.00€76.503
Mar ’24€70.22
€77.33
+10.1%
4.9%€80.00€72.00€80.263
Feb ’24€55.88
€66.25
+18.6%
14.5%€80.00€55.00€68.104
Jan ’24€44.50
€66.25
+48.9%
14.5%€80.00€55.00€64.504
Dec ’23€46.97
€66.25
+41.0%
14.5%€80.00€55.00€64.124

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 08:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Qt Group Oyj is covered by 7 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matti RiikonenCarnegie Investment Bank AB
Veikkopekka SilvastiDanske Bank
Waltteri RossiDanske Bank