F-Secure Oyj Valuation

Is FSECURE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FSECURE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FSECURE (€1.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FSECURE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FSECURE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FSECURE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FSECURE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FSECURE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.9x
ADMCM Admicom Oyj
34.1x14.4%€215.4m
LEMON Lemonsoft Oyj
20.1x6.6%€106.5m
TEM1V Tecnotree Oyj
9.9x14.7%€110.9m
GOFORE Gofore Oyj
19.6x13.0%€350.9m
FSECURE F-Secure Oyj
15x11.0%€335.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FSECURE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FSECURE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a29.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a29.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FSECURE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x) compared to the European Software industry average (32.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FSECURE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FSECURE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15x
Fair PE Ratio17.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FSECURE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FSECURE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.92
€2.43
+26.6%
10.8%€2.80€2.20n/a3
Apr ’25€1.88
€2.43
+29.7%
10.8%€2.80€2.20n/a3
Mar ’25€1.81
€2.50
+38.0%
14.2%€3.00€2.20n/a3
Feb ’25€1.91
€2.40
+25.4%
12.5%€2.90€2.10n/a4
Jan ’25€2.04
€2.38
+16.7%
13.1%€2.90€2.10n/a4
Dec ’24€1.89
€2.38
+25.9%
13.1%€2.90€2.10n/a4
Nov ’24€1.70
€2.40
+41.2%
14.7%€3.00€2.10n/a4
Oct ’24€1.75
€2.68
+53.2%
15.0%€3.10€2.10n/a4
Sep ’24€2.38
€3.05
+28.4%
11.9%€3.50€2.60n/a4
Aug ’24€2.26
€3.20
+41.9%
9.2%€3.50€2.80n/a3
Jul ’24€2.34
€3.43
+47.0%
5.0%€3.60€3.20n/a3
Jun ’24€2.74
€3.50
+27.7%
6.2%€3.70€3.20n/a3
May ’24€2.92
€3.53
+21.0%
4.8%€3.70€3.30n/a3
Apr ’24€3.20
€3.43
+7.5%
3.6%€3.60€3.30€1.883
Mar ’24€3.24
€3.23
-0.05%
5.3%€3.40€3.00€1.813
Feb ’24€2.96
€3.17
+7.2%
5.4%€3.40€3.00€1.913
Jan ’24€2.83
€3.17
+11.9%
5.4%€3.40€3.00€2.043
Dec ’23€3.10
€3.17
+2.2%
5.4%€3.40€3.00€1.893
Nov ’23€2.82
€3.17
+12.5%
5.4%€3.40€3.00€1.703
Oct ’23€2.45
€3.13
+27.4%
5.2%€3.40€3.00€1.754
Sep ’23€2.41
€3.13
+29.6%
5.2%€3.40€3.00€2.384
Aug ’23€3.12
€3.13
+0.2%
5.2%€3.40€3.00€2.264

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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