Stock Analysis

Is secunet Security Networks (ETR:YSN) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:YSN
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, secunet Security Networks Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:YSN) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for secunet Security Networks

What Is secunet Security Networks's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, secunet Security Networks had €7.45m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has €5.14m in cash leading to net debt of about €2.31m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:YSN Debt to Equity History September 13th 2022

How Healthy Is secunet Security Networks' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, secunet Security Networks had liabilities of €76.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €73.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €5.14m in cash and €54.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €90.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given secunet Security Networks has a market capitalization of €1.42b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, secunet Security Networks has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With debt at a measly 0.038 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 1k times, it's clear that secunet Security Networks is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. But the other side of the story is that secunet Security Networks saw its EBIT decline by 8.5% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if secunet Security Networks can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, secunet Security Networks recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that secunet Security Networks's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its EBIT growth rate does undermine this impression a bit. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like secunet Security Networks is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for secunet Security Networks (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About XTRA:YSN

secunet Security Networks

Operates as a cybersecurity company in Germany and internationally.

Outstanding track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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