XTRA:HFG

Stock Analysis Report

Executive Summary

HelloFresh SE delivers meal kit solutions to prepare home-cooked meals using its recipes.

Snowflake

Fundamentals

High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.

Risks

  • HelloFresh has significant price volatility in the past 3 months.

Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has HelloFresh's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events


Market Performance


7 Day Return

2.1%

HFG

-8.2%

DE Online Retail

-0.2%

DE Market


1 Year Return

21.4%

HFG

0.2%

DE Online Retail

-5.0%

DE Market

HFG outperformed the Online Retail industry which returned 0.2% over the past year.

HFG outperformed the Market in Germany which returned -5% over the past year.


Share holder returns

HFGIndustryMarket
7 Day2.1%-8.2%-0.2%
30 Day16.9%-5.0%6.1%
90 Day51.9%5.4%1.8%
1 Year21.4%21.4%0.6%0.2%-2.0%-5.0%
3 Yearn/a-0.6%-2.0%17.1%7.0%
5 Yearn/a13.3%2.7%33.9%15.7%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is HelloFresh's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

No news available

Valuation

Is HelloFresh undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

1%

Discount to future cash flow value


Intrinsic Value Based on Future Cash Flows

HelloFresh's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a moderate discount (< 20%).

HelloFresh's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a substantial discount (< 40%).


Price Based on Earnings

HelloFresh is loss making, we can't compare its value to the Europe Online Retail industry average.

HelloFresh is loss making, we can't compare the value of its earnings to the Germany market.


Price Based on Expected Growth

Unable to calculate PEG ratio for HelloFresh, we can't assess if its growth is good value.


Price Based on Value of Assets

HelloFresh is overvalued based on assets compared to the DE Online Retail industry average.


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is HelloFresh expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 7 analysts?

66.6%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Estimates


Future Annual Growth Analysis

HelloFresh's revenue is expected to grow by 14.1% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).

HelloFresh's earnings are expected to grow significantly at over 20% yearly.

HelloFresh's revenue growth is expected to exceed the Germany market average.

HelloFresh's earnings growth is expected to exceed the Germany market average.

HelloFresh's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 0.2%.


Earnings per Share Growth Estimates


Future Return on Equity

HelloFresh is expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity greater than 20%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has HelloFresh performed over the past 5 years?

-0.02%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

HelloFresh does not make a profit and their year on year earnings growth rate was negative over the past 5 years.

Unable to compare HelloFresh's 1-year earnings growth to the 5-year average as it is not currently profitable.

Unable to compare HelloFresh's 1-year growth to the Europe Online Retail industry average as it is not currently profitable.


Return on Equity

It is difficult to establish if HelloFresh has efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 20%) as it is loss-making.


Return on Assets

It is difficult to establish if HelloFresh has efficiently used its assets last year compared to the Europe Online Retail industry average (Return on Assets) as it is loss-making.


Return on Capital Employed

It is difficult to establish if HelloFresh improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed) as it is currently loss-making.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is HelloFresh's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

HelloFresh is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.

HelloFresh's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

HelloFresh's level of debt (0.2%) compared to net worth is satisfactory (less than 40%).

Unable to establish if HelloFresh's debt level has increased without past 5-year debt data.


Balance Sheet

High level of physical assets or inventory.

Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 586x debt.


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

HelloFresh has sufficient cash runway for 2.3 years based on current free cash flow.

Unable to confirm if HelloFresh has at least 1 year of cash runway based on growing free cash flows without relevant data.


Next Steps

Dividend

What is HelloFresh's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield and Payments Analysis

Unable to evaluate HelloFresh's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers as the company has not reported any payouts.

Unable to evaluate HelloFresh's dividend against the top 25% market benchmark as the company has not reported any payouts.

Unable to perform a dividend volatility check as HelloFresh has not reported any payouts.

Unable to verify if HelloFresh's dividend has been increasing as the company has not reported any payouts.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as HelloFresh has not reported any payouts.


Future Payout to Shareholders

No need to calculate the sustainability of HelloFresh's dividends in 3 years as they are not expected to pay a notable one for Germany.


Next Steps

Management

What is the CEO of HelloFresh's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

3.8yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Dominik Richter (34yo)

0yrs

Tenure

0

Mr. Dominik S. Richter serves as Chief Executive Officer and Member of Management Board at HelloFresh SE. 


Board Age and Tenure

3.8yrs

Average Tenure

54yo

Average Age

The tenure for the HelloFresh board of directors is about average.


Insider Trading

No 3 month open market individual insider trading information.


Ownership Breakdown


Management Team

  • Amir Avraham

    Head of Investor Relations

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • Dominik Richter (34yo)

    CEO & Member of Management Board

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • Christian Gartner (46yo)

    CFO & Member of Management Board

    • Tenure: 4.7yrs
  • Thomas Griesel (33yo)

    COO, CEO of International & Member of Management Board

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • Eva Switala

    Global Head of PR

    • Tenure: 0yrs

Board Members

  • Jeff Lieberman (45yo)

    Chairperson of Supervisory Board

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • Derek Zissman (75yo)

    Member of Supervisory Board

    • Tenure: 3.8yrs
  • John Rittenhouse (63yo)

    Member of Supervisory Board

    • Tenure: 3.8yrs
  • Ugo Arzani (45yo)

    Member of Supervisory Board

    • Tenure: 2.4yrs
  • Ursula Radeke-Pietsch

    Deputy Chairman of Supervisory Board

    • Tenure: 0yrs

Company Information

HelloFresh SE's company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: HelloFresh SE
  • Ticker: HFG
  • Exchange: XTRA
  • Founded: 2011
  • Industry: Internet and Direct Marketing Retail
  • Sector: Retail
  • Market Cap: €2.093b
  • Shares outstanding: 164.04m
  • Website: https://www.hellofreshgroup.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • HelloFresh SE
  • Saarbrücker Strasse 37a
  • Berlin
  • Berlin
  • 10405
  • Germany

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
HFGDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesOrdinary Bearer ShraesDEEURNov 2017
0RVILSE (London Stock Exchange)YesOrdinary Bearer ShraesGBEURNov 2017
HFGXTRA (XETRA Trading Platform)YesOrdinary Bearer ShraesDEEURNov 2017
HFGDBATS-CHIXE (BATS 'Chi-X Europe')YesOrdinary Bearer ShraesGBEURNov 2017
HLFF.FOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)YesOrdinary Bearer ShraesUSUSDNov 2017

Biography

HelloFresh SE delivers meal kit solutions to prepare home-cooked meals using its recipes. The company offers premium meals, double portions, and others, as well as seasonal meal-kits, including a Christmas ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2019/09/22 21:50
End of Day Share Price2019/09/20 00:00
Earnings2019/06/30
Annual Earnings2018/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.