Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd's (SHSE:601098) Low P/E
China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd's (SHSE:601098) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.6x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 29x and even P/E's above 55x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for China South Publishing & Media Group as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for China South Publishing & Media Group
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on China South Publishing & Media Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as China South Publishing & Media Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 22% gain to the company's bottom line. As a result, it also grew EPS by 19% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 3.6% each year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 24% per annum.
In light of this, it's understandable that China South Publishing & Media Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From China South Publishing & Media Group's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of China South Publishing & Media Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware China South Publishing & Media Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than China South Publishing & Media Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SHSE:601098
China South Publishing & Media Group
Engages in publishing, printing, distribution, media, and financing businesses in China.
Flawless balance sheet 6 star dividend payer.