Stock Analysis

Dollarama Inc.'s (TSE:DOL) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

TSX:DOL
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When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Dollarama Inc. (TSE:DOL) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 37.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Dollarama has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Dollarama

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:DOL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 1st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Dollarama will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Dollarama's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Dollarama's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 101% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 11% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 8.4% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Dollarama's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Dollarama's P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Dollarama maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Dollarama, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.