TSX:DOL

Stock Analysis Report

NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION
Header cover image

Executive Summary

Dollarama Inc. operates a chain of dollar stores in Canada.


Snowflake Analysis

Acceptable track record with imperfect balance sheet.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Dollarama's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: DOL's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

2.8%

DOL

-0.4%

CA Multiline Retail

4.1%

CA Market


1 Year Return

12.1%

DOL

15.5%

CA Multiline Retail

-8.6%

CA Market

Return vs Industry: DOL underperformed the Canadian Multiline Retail industry which returned 14.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: DOL exceeded the Canadian Market which returned -10.1% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

DOLIndustryMarket
7 Day2.8%-0.4%4.1%
30 Day12.2%13.2%7.9%
90 Day19.7%14.0%-3.4%
1 Year12.6%12.1%18.0%15.5%-5.5%-8.6%
3 Year16.4%15.1%72.5%61.1%3.6%-6.1%
5 Year103.9%99.9%34.2%17.4%21.4%3.5%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Dollarama's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Dollarama undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

26.71x

Price to Earnings (PE) ratio


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: DOL (CA$47.99) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$47.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DOL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: DOL is poor value based on its PE Ratio (26.7x) compared to the Multiline Retail industry average (23.2x).

PE vs Market: DOL is poor value based on its PE Ratio (26.7x) compared to the Canadian market (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: DOL is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (6.2x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: DOL has negative assets, so we can't compare its PB Ratio to the XN Multiline Retail industry average.


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Dollarama forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 12 analysts?

4.3%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DOL's forecast earnings growth (4.3% per year) is above the savings rate (1.7%).

Earnings vs Market: DOL's earnings (4.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (24% per year).

High Growth Earnings: DOL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: DOL's revenue (5.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (5.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DOL's revenue (5.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if DOL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Dollarama performed over the past 5 years?

12.0%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: DOL has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: DOL's current net profit margins (14.9%) are lower than last year (15.4%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: DOL's earnings have grown by 12% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: DOL's earnings growth over the past year (3.5%) is below its 5-year average (12% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: DOL earnings growth over the past year (3.5%) exceeded the Multiline Retail industry -5.1%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: DOL's liabilities exceed its assets, so it is difficult to calculate its Return on Equity.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Dollarama's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: DOL has negative shareholder equity, which is a more serious situation than short term assets not covering short term liabilities.

Long Term Liabilities: DOL has negative shareholder equity, which is a more serious situation than short term assets not covering long term liabilities.


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: DOL has negative shareholder equity, which is a more serious situation than a high debt level.

Reducing Debt: DOL's has negative shareholder equity, so we do not need to check if its debt has reduced over time.

Debt Coverage: DOL's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (39%).

Interest Coverage: DOL's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (8.5x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Dollarama's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

0.37%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: DOL's dividend (0.37%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Canadian market (1.94%).

High Dividend: DOL's dividend (0.37%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Canadian market (6.08%).


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: DOL is not paying a notable dividend for the Canadian market, therefore no need to check if payments are stable.

Growing Dividend: DOL is not paying a notable dividend for the Canadian market, therefore no need to check if payments are increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: DOL is not paying a notable dividend for the Canadian market.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of DOL's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the Canadian market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

8.1yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Neil Rossy (49yo)

4.08yrs

Tenure

CA$3,797,786

Compensation

Mr. Neil Rossy has been the Chief Executive Officer and President of Dollarama Inc. since May 1, 2016. Mr. Rossy served as Chief Merchandising Officer at Dollarama Inc. since 2004 until April 2016 and its  ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Neil's total compensation ($USD2.81M) is below average for companies of similar size in the Canadian market ($USD6.83M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Neil's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Neil Rossy
CEO, President & Director4.08yrsCA$3.80m0.83% CA$123.7m
Michael Ross
Chief Financial Officer10.17yrsCA$1.35m0.00045% CA$67.0k
Johanne Choinière
Chief Operating Officer6.08yrsCA$1.41m0.021% CA$3.2m
Geoffrey Robillard
Senior Vice President of Import Division16.42yrsCA$2.51m0.39% CA$57.6m
Laurence Rossy
Chairman Emeritus2yrsCA$689.62kno data
Josée Kouri
VP of Legal Affairs & Corporate Secretaryno datano datano data
Nicolas Hien
Senior Vice President of Project Management & Systems3.42yrsno datano data

8.1yrs

Average Tenure

59.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: DOL's management team is seasoned and experienced (8.1 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Neil Rossy
CEO, President & Director4.08yrsCA$3.80m0.83% CA$123.7m
Laurence Rossy
Chairman Emeritus2yrsCA$689.62kno data
Joshua Bekenstein
Independent Director16.42yrsCA$149.00k0.0048% CA$719.5k
Kristin Mugford
Independent Director2.25yrsCA$143.50kno data
Stephen Gunn
Independent Chairman of the Board2yrsCA$250.00k0.030% CA$4.4m
Richard Roy
Independent Director7.67yrsCA$155.00k0.0039% CA$576.5k
Elisa Garcia C.
Independent Director5.33yrsCA$140.00kno data
Nicholas Nomicos
Independent Director16.42yrsCA$163.50kno data
Gregory David
Non-Executive Director16.42yrsCA$134.00kno data
John Thomas
Independent Director9.25yrsCA$142.50k0.010% CA$1.5m

8.5yrs

Average Tenure

60.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: DOL's board of directors are considered experienced (8.5 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: DOL insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Dollarama Inc.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Dollarama Inc.
  • Ticker: DOL
  • Exchange: TSX
  • Founded: 1992
  • Industry: General Merchandise Stores
  • Sector: Retail
  • Market Cap: CA$14.897b
  • Shares outstanding: 310.42m
  • Website: https://www.dollarama.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Dollarama Inc.
  • 5805 Royalmount Avenue
  • Montreal
  • Quebec
  • H4P 0A1
  • Canada

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
DOLTSX (The Toronto Stock Exchange)YesCommon SharesCACADOct 2009
DR3DB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesCommon SharesDEEUROct 2009
DLMA.FOTCPK (Pink Sheets LLC)YesCommon SharesUSUSDOct 2009

Biography

Dollarama Inc. operates a chain of dollar stores in Canada. Its stores offer general merchandise, consumables, and seasonal items. The company also offers products online. As of February 2, 2020, it operated 1,291 stores. The company was formerly known as Dollarama Capital Corporation and changed its name to Dollarama Inc. in September 2009. Dollarama Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada. 


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/06/05 04:38
End of Day Share Price2020/06/04 00:00
Earnings2020/02/02
Annual Earnings2020/02/02


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.