Dollarama Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Dollarama is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.3% and 8.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 54.3% in 3 years.
Key information
11.3%
Earnings growth rate
12.21%
EPS growth rate
| Multiline Retail earnings growth | 16.4% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.1% |
| Future return on equity | 54.28% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 05 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 02
DOL: Buybacks And Dividend Increase Will Support Higher Long Term P/E
Dollarama's analyst price targets have been trimmed, with several firms cutting their views by CA$2 to CA$20 as analysts weigh slightly revised assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a mix of trimmed price targets and one upgrade, which signals that views on Dollarama are not uniform.Narrative Update • Apr 16
DOL: Share Repurchases And Dividend Increases Will Support Higher Future P/E
Dollarama's analyst fair value estimate has been trimmed by CA$3 to CA$232 as analysts adjust their price targets and supporting assumptions around growth, profitability, and P/E multiples in light of recent Street research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a broad reset of price targets on Dollarama, with several firms trimming their estimates while keeping a close eye on execution, growth prospects, and valuation discipline.
Narrative Update • Apr 02
DOL: Cautious Outlook On P/E Assumptions Will Likely Pressure Shares
Analysts have trimmed their CA$ price targets on Dollarama, and the updated fair value estimate has shifted from CA$166.73 to CA$153.59 as they factor in more conservative assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and long term P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more cautious tone around Dollarama, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets by amounts ranging from CA$2 to CA$20.Analysis Article • Mar 27
Dollarama Inc. (TSE:DOL) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A CA$197 Price Target
Last week, you might have seen that Dollarama Inc. ( TSE:DOL ) released its annual result to the market. The early...Narrative Update • Mar 18
DOL: Higher Implied P/E Will Likely Leave Shares Vulnerable To Repricing
Analysts have revised their Dollarama price target higher to CA$166.73 from CA$160.92, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E that modestly adjust their valuation outlook. Valuation Changes Fair Value: CA$160.92 to CA$166.73, reflecting a slightly higher assessed value per share.Narrative Update • Mar 04
DOL: Share Repurchases Will Support Higher Margins And Future P/E Assumptions
Analysts are keeping their CA$235.00 target for Dollarama unchanged, citing slightly higher assumed revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly higher discount rate and a lower future P/E, which together offset each other in their valuation work. What's in the News Dollarama completed a share repurchase tranche between August 4, 2025 and November 2, 2025, buying back 2,605,912 shares for CA$484.6 million.Narrative Update • Feb 18
DOL: Share Buybacks Will Likely Fail To Justify Elevated P/E
Analysts have nudged their CA$ price target for Dollarama slightly higher, reflecting small model adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News From August 4, 2025 to November 2, 2025, Dollarama repurchased 2,605,912 shares for CA$484.6 million, representing 0.94% of its shares.Analysis Article • Feb 11
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Dollarama Inc. (TSE:DOL)
Key Insights Dollarama's estimated fair value is CA$210 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Dollarama's CA$188...Narrative Update • Feb 04
DOL: Future Buybacks Will Likely Prove Insufficient To Justify Rich Pricing
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Dollarama from $147.82 to $160.92, reflecting updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Dollarama completed a share repurchase of 2,605,912 shares, equal to 0.94% of its outstanding shares, between August 4, 2025 and November 2, 2025 under its previously announced buyback program.
Narrative Update • Jan 21
DOL: Buybacks And International Expansion Will Shape Balanced Future Upside Outlook
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price expectations for Dollarama, with the latest target implying fair value of $211.38 as they refine assumptions around the discount rate and long term P/E multiple, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin forecasts broadly unchanged. What's in the News From August 4, 2025 to November 2, 2025, Dollarama repurchased 2,605,912 shares for CAD 484.6 million, representing 0.94% of its shares under the buyback announced on July 3, 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 06
DOL: Share Repurchases Will Support Higher Future P/E Assumptions
Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Dollarama at $235, up from $223, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that adjust their risk and profitability expectations. What's in the News Dollarama completed a share repurchase tranche between August 4, 2025 and November 2, 2025, buying back 2,605,912 shares for CAD 484.6m, equal to 0.94% of its shares outstanding (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Jan 06
Dollarama Inc.'s (TSE:DOL) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider...Narrative Update • Dec 19
DOL: International Expansion Will Support Future Upside While Risks Keep Outlook Balanced
Analysts have raised their price target on Dollarama from approximately $201 to $211. This reflects modestly lower assumed revenue growth, slightly improved profit margin expectations, and a higher future price-to-earnings multiple.Analysis Article • Dec 07
Is Now The Time To Put Dollarama (TSE:DOL) On Your Watchlist?
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Narrative Update • Dec 04
DOL: International Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Upside Despite Premium Pricing
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Dollarama higher from C$198.81 to C$200.81, citing stronger expected revenue growth and international expansion potential. They believe these factors outweigh a modestly higher discount rate and slightly lower projected profit margins.Analysis Article • Nov 02
Estimating The Fair Value Of Dollarama Inc. (TSE:DOL)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Dollarama is CA$185 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Narrative Update • Sep 18
Expansion In Canada, Mexico And Australia Will Unlock New Markets
Analysts have modestly raised Dollarama’s price target to CA$198.81, citing superior productivity, cross-demographic appeal, growth potential in underpenetrated markets, and resilient execution that justifies its premium valuation despite ongoing concerns over elevated price levels. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to Dollarama's superior productivity compared to U.S. peers and its widespread appeal across all income cohorts.Narrative Update • Aug 30
Expansion In Canada, Mexico And Australia Will Unlock New Markets
Analysts have modestly lowered Dollarama’s price target to CA$196.73, balancing confidence in resilient sales and margin improvements against concerns over slower earnings growth, macroeconomic headwinds, and valuation pressures. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite continued strength in same-store sales growth and sustained high demand for value retail.Analysis Article • Jul 27
Should You Be Adding Dollarama (TSE:DOL) To Your Watchlist Today?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analysis Article • Jul 05
Investor Optimism Abounds Dollarama Inc. (TSE:DOL) But Growth Is Lacking
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 43.2x Dollarama Inc. ( TSE:DOL ) may be sending very bearish signals at...Analysis Article • May 16
Dollarama (TSE:DOL) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
New Narrative • Nov 07
Expanding Store Network And Tactical Initiatives Drive Strong Growth Potential In LATAM Markets
Expansion in Latin America and increased stake in Dollarcity showcase strong growth potential and future revenue enhancement.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 9,342 | 1,787 | 2,043 | 2,368 | 3 |
| 1/31/2028 | 8,647 | 1,583 | 1,397 | 1,965 | 15 |
| 1/31/2027 | 8,099 | 1,404 | 1,047 | 1,773 | 16 |
| 2/1/2026 | 7,256 | 1,309 | 1,488 | 1,761 | N/A |
| 11/2/2025 | 7,036 | 1,308 | 1,475 | 1,746 | N/A |
| 8/3/2025 | 6,689 | 1,262 | 1,429 | 1,683 | N/A |
| 5/4/2025 | 6,529 | 1,226 | 1,431 | 1,678 | N/A |
| 2/2/2025 | 6,413 | 1,169 | 1,401 | 1,644 | N/A |
| 10/27/2024 | 6,171 | 1,101 | 1,342 | 1,553 | N/A |
| 7/28/2024 | 6,086 | 1,087 | 1,262 | 1,552 | N/A |
| 4/28/2024 | 5,979 | 1,046 | 1,252 | 1,530 | N/A |
| 1/28/2024 | 5,867 | 1,010 | 1,252 | 1,531 | N/A |
| 10/29/2023 | 5,701 | 948 | 1,209 | 1,481 | N/A |
| 7/30/2023 | 5,513 | 889 | 1,072 | 1,250 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 5,274 | 836 | 820 | 993 | N/A |
| 1/29/2023 | 5,053 | 802 | 712 | 869 | N/A |
| 10/30/2022 | 4,804 | 761 | 695 | 848 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 4,637 | 742 | 910 | 1,063 | N/A |
| 5/1/2022 | 4,449 | 695 | 1,024 | 1,185 | N/A |
| 1/30/2022 | 4,331 | 663 | 1,000 | 1,159 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 4,210 | 617 | 811 | 973 | N/A |
| 8/1/2021 | 4,151 | 596 | 660 | 820 | N/A |
| 5/2/2021 | 4,136 | 592 | 688 | 838 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 4,026 | 564 | 721 | 889 | N/A |
| 11/1/2020 | 3,988 | 569 | 769 | 920 | N/A |
| 8/2/2020 | 3,871 | 546 | 766 | 922 | N/A |
| 5/3/2020 | 3,804 | 547 | 670 | 823 | N/A |
| 2/2/2020 | 3,787 | 564 | 597 | 733 | N/A |
| 11/3/2019 | 3,782 | 556 | N/A | 759 | N/A |
| 8/4/2019 | 3,698 | 550 | N/A | 684 | N/A |
| 5/5/2019 | 3,620 | 547 | N/A | 721 | N/A |
| 2/3/2019 | 3,549 | 545 | N/A | 686 | N/A |
| 10/28/2018 | 3,427 | 537 | N/A | 660 | N/A |
| 7/29/2018 | 3,373 | 535 | N/A | 652 | N/A |
| 4/29/2018 | 3,317 | 526 | N/A | 613 | N/A |
| 1/28/2018 | 3,266 | 519 | N/A | 637 | N/A |
| 10/29/2017 | 3,183 | 503 | N/A | 587 | N/A |
| 7/30/2017 | 3,111 | 483 | N/A | 565 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 3,027 | 457 | N/A | 551 | N/A |
| 1/29/2017 | 2,963 | 446 | N/A | 505 | N/A |
| 10/30/2016 | 2,875 | 424 | N/A | 512 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 2,801 | 414 | N/A | 528 | N/A |
| 5/1/2016 | 2,725 | 404 | N/A | 487 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 2,650 | 385 | N/A | 449 | N/A |
| 11/1/2015 | 2,553 | 361 | N/A | 408 | N/A |
| 8/2/2015 | 2,476 | 334 | N/A | 356 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: DOL's forecast earnings growth (11.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).
Earnings vs Market: DOL's earnings (11.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (11% per year).
High Growth Earnings: DOL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: DOL's revenue (8.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (4.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: DOL's revenue (8.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: DOL's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (54.3%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 06:37 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/02/01 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/02/01 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Dollarama Inc. is covered by 25 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Will Chien | Accountability Research Corporation |
| James Durran | Barclays |
| Zhihan Ma | Bernstein |