Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Falco Resources Ltd. (CVE:FPC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Falco Resources's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Falco Resources had CA$35.6m in debt in December 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$4.44m, its net debt is less, at about CA$31.1m.
How Strong Is Falco Resources' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Falco Resources had liabilities of CA$39.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$65.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$4.44m and CA$509.4k worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$99.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CA$57.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Falco Resources would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Falco Resources's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
View our latest analysis for Falco Resources
Since Falco Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Falco Resources produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CA$3.6m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through CA$7.3m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Falco Resources is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:FPC
Falco Resources
Engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Canada.
Low and slightly overvalued.
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