Stock Analysis

Investors Interested In Lundin Gold Inc.'s (TSE:LUG) Earnings

TSX:LUG
Source: Shutterstock

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.7x Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios under 12x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Lundin Gold has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Lundin Gold

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:LUG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 25th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Lundin Gold's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Lundin Gold?

Lundin Gold's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's bottom line. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 103% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 13%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Lundin Gold's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Lundin Gold's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Lundin Gold maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Lundin Gold is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Lundin Gold. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lundin Gold is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.