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Updated 6h ago
AGI logo

Alamos Gold Inc.TSX:AGI Stock Report

Market Cap CA$21.4b
Updated 6h ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y8.4%
7D-5.2%
1D-3.4%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Alamos Gold Inc.

TSX:AGI Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$21.4b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Alamos Gold (AGI) Stock Overview

Operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. More details

AGI fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 72.1% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 18.15% per year

Earnings grew by 238.3% over the past year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 33.4%

Risk Analysis

High level of non-cash earnings


AGI Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 121 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
25.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•5h ago

Analysts Lift Alamos Gold Price Target Amid Strong Growth Improved Margins and Positive Outlook

1.4k
1
64
AN
AnalystHighTarget
37.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•23d ago

Long-Life District Expansions And Growing Reserves Will Transform This Gold Producer

76
0
5
AN
AnalystLowTarget
7.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Shaft Expansion And Cost Pressures Will Test Operations Yet Longer Term Upside Remains

12
0
0

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
25.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•5h ago

Analysts Lift Alamos Gold Price Target Amid Strong Growth Improved Margins and Positive Outlook

1.4k
1
64
AN
AnalystHighTarget
37.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•23d ago

Long-Life District Expansions And Growing Reserves Will Transform This Gold Producer

76
0
5
AN
AnalystLowTarget
7.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Shaft Expansion And Cost Pressures Will Test Operations Yet Longer Term Upside Remains

12
0
0
View all narratives

Alamos Gold Inc. Competitors

Endeavour Mining

Symbol: TSX:EDV
Market cap: CA$21.1b

Equinox Gold

Symbol: TSX:EQX
Market cap: CA$20.7b

Lundin Gold

Symbol: TSX:LUG
Market cap: CA$23.4b

Eldorado Gold

Symbol: TSX:ELD
Market cap: CA$16.0b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Alamos Gold
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceCA$49.34
52 Week HighCA$75.78
52 Week LowCA$38.03
Beta1.39
1 Month Change5.86%
3 Month Change0.30%
1 Year Change8.37%
3 Year Change202.14%
5 Year Change422.67%
Change since IPO605.87%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 18

AGI: Seismic Events At Key Mine Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Alamos Gold's updated analyst price target has shifted modestly lower to about CA$79 from roughly CA$82, as analysts reflect softer commodity price assumptions, recent production and seismic related updates at Young-Davidson, and expectations for tighter margins across gold producers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alamos Gold points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, even as price targets move slightly lower.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 18

AGI: Seismic Events At Key Mine Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Alamos Gold's updated analyst price target has shifted modestly lower to about CA$79 from roughly CA$82, as analysts reflect softer commodity price assumptions, recent production and seismic related updates at Young-Davidson, and expectations for tighter margins across gold producers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alamos Gold points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, even as price targets move slightly lower.
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 12

Shaft Expansion And Cost Pressures Will Test Operations Yet Longer Term Upside Remains

Catalysts About Alamos Gold Alamos Gold is a gold producer with operations and development projects in Canada and Mexico. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 04

AGI: Island District Expansion Will Offset Young-Davidson Seismic Headwinds

Alamos Gold’s updated analyst price target now sits at CA$75, down from CA$82, as analysts factor in softer commodity price forecasts, recent operational disruptions at Young-Davidson, and expectations for margin pressure following lower gold prices and higher costs across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alamos Gold points to a more cautious stance on the stock, even as analysts largely maintain positive views on its longer term execution and asset quality.
Analysis Article • Jul 30

Analysts' Revenue Estimates For Alamos Gold Inc. (TSE:AGI) Are Surging Higher

Celebrations may be in order for Alamos Gold Inc. ( TSE:AGI ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant...
User avatar
New Narrative • Jul 28

Long-Life District Expansions And Growing Reserves Will Transform This Gold Producer

Catalysts About Alamos Gold Alamos Gold is a gold producer with a portfolio of operating mines and growth projects in Canada and Mexico. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 21

AGI: Island District Expansion Will Offset Young-Davidson Seismic And Legal Headwinds

The updated analyst price target for Alamos Gold reflects a modest reset in fair value to CA$70.68 from CA$72.84. Analysts are factoring in sector wide reductions in commodity price forecasts, recent operational updates at Young-Davidson, and expectations for mixed near term margins despite continued strength in gold producer balance sheets.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 07

AGI: Island Gold District Expansion Will Offset Young-Davidson Seismic Disruptions

Alamos Gold's analyst price target has been trimmed by about CA$3, as analysts factor in lower forecast fair value along with pressures from weaker gold prices, higher diesel costs, revised production guidance and recent seismic related disruptions at Young-Davidson. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alamos Gold points to a more cautious stance on valuation, with analysts trimming price targets as they factor in weaker gold prices, higher diesel costs and operational updates at key assets like Young-Davidson and La Yaqui Grande.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 23

AGI: Island Gold District Expansion Will Offset Young-Davidson Production Challenges

Alamos Gold's analyst price target has been reduced to CA$73 from CA$90 as analysts factor in lower near term production expectations at Young-Davidson and updated company guidance, while still highlighting the growing importance of the Island Gold District to the overall story. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alamos Gold centers on lower production expectations at Young-Davidson and updated company guidance, with price targets adjusted accordingly.
Analysis Article • Jun 16

Alamos Gold (TSX:AGI) Stock Could Be 36.9% Undervalued After Conference Focus

Alamos Gold (TSX:AGI) is back in focus after a 6.9% share price move on June 15, coinciding with investor attention around its upcoming presentation at the RBC Capital Markets Global Mining & Materials Conference in New York. See our latest analysis for Alamos Gold. That conference appearance comes after a mixed stretch for Alamos Gold’s share price. A 7 day share price return of 5.18% contrasts with a 90 day share price return that is down 15.98%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 05

AGI: Lower Costs And Expanding Reserves Will Support Dividend Strength

Narrative Update on Alamos Gold The analyst price target for Alamos Gold has been raised by CA$8, with analysts pointing to updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a revised P/E outlook as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alamos Gold reported first quarter 2026 gold production of 123,900 ounces, compared with 125,000 ounces in the same period a year earlier, with results tied to performance at the Island Gold and Magino mines.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 08

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Prices Will Support Dividend Strength And Reserve Expansion

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Alamos Gold stock by about CA$1.93, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026 and revised sector-wide valuation assumptions that are consistent with recent increases in Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting price targets for Alamos Gold after updating 2026 metal price forecasts, which feeds directly into higher modeled cash flows and fair value estimates.
Analysis Article • May 02

Alamos Gold Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

There's been a notable change in appetite for Alamos Gold Inc. ( TSE:AGI ) shares in the week since its quarterly...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 20

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Price Forecasts Will Support Dividend And Reserve Upside

Analysts have increased their CA$ price target on Alamos Gold by CA$8, citing updated metal price assumptions for 2026 and incremental adjustments to fair value, discount rate, margin and P/E inputs in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Alamos Gold has centered on updated metal price assumptions for 2026 and refreshed valuation models, with several firms revising their price targets in both US$ and CA$ terms.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 05

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Price Forecasts Will Support Medium Term Upside

Analysts have lifted their average CA$ price target for Alamos Gold, with recent revisions such as BofA's move to CA$57 and multiple Canadian broker increases reflecting updated views on future metal prices and the company's earnings potential in that context. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions for Alamos Gold, including the move to CA$57 at BofA and several other target changes, give you a window into how research desks are framing the risk and reward profile of the stock right now.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 22

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Price Deck Will Support Bullish Upside

Analysts have lifted their average CA$ price target for Alamos Gold by CA$9, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026 and refreshed assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions on Alamos Gold cluster around updated 2026 metal price forecasts and refreshed valuation assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 06

AGI: Higher Metal Price Outlook And Capital Returns Will Drive Bullish Upside

Analysts have lifted their CA$ price targets on Alamos Gold, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about CA$75.30 to roughly CA$79.70. This reflects revised views on metal price forecasts into 2026 and related valuation inputs such as discount rate, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 20

AGI: Higher Fair Value And Capital Returns Will Support Bullish Upside

The latest Narrative Update on Alamos Gold reflects a higher analyst price target, with fair value now at CA$75.30 compared with CA$70.95 previously, as analysts point to updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alamos Gold has centered on higher price targets across multiple firms, with analysts updating their models around revenue potential, profitability and what they see as a reasonable P/E range for the stock.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 05

AGI: Buyback And Rising Earnings Confidence Will Drive Bullish Upside

Narrative Update on Alamos Gold Analysts have lifted their price targets on Alamos Gold, with recent C$6, $5 and $3 upward revisions contributing to a higher implied fair value of 70.95. This is supported by updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 22

AGI: New Buyback Plan Will Support Bullish Upside In My View

Narrative Update on Alamos Gold Analysts have lifted their price target on Alamos Gold by $3, pointing to updated fair value estimates, a modestly adjusted discount rate, and revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that together support a slightly higher valuation range. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a modestly higher fair value range for Alamos Gold, with the $3 price target lift tied to updated views on revenue potential, profitability, and the P/E level that analysts consider reasonable for the business.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 06

AGI: Share Buybacks And Stronger Fourth Quarter Output Will Support Bullish Upside

Analysts now set a modestly higher price target range for Alamos Gold, reflecting small adjustments to their fair value estimate, discount rate, and assumed future P/E multiple, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations broadly in line with prior views. What's in the News Board of Directors authorizes a new share buyback plan on December 22, 2025, signaling continued use of repurchases as a capital allocation tool (Key Developments).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 19

AGI: Stronger Fourth Quarter Output Is Expected To Drive Bullish Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alamos Gold to approximately 64.44 dollars from about 63.99 dollars, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a slightly lower future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Updated 2025 guidance now calls for full year gold production of 560,000 to 580,000 ounces, narrowed from the prior 580,000 to 630,000 ounce range.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 05

AGI: Rising Price Objective Will Support Upside From Stronger Fourth Quarter Output

Alamos Gold's analyst price target has been raised modestly, with analysts citing sustained operational momentum and an updated valuation framework. Despite slightly higher discount rates and softer growth and margin assumptions, this framework still supports multiple expansion and a new target of about C$51 per share.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 21

AGI: Elevated Fourth Quarter Production Will Drive Further Potential Upside

Narrative Update: Alamos Gold Analyst Price Target Adjusted Analysts have raised their price target for Alamos Gold by C$1 to C$51. This change reflects continued strong performance, expectations for improved profit margins, and modestly higher revenue growth.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 06

AGI: Fourth Quarter Production Guidance Will Drive Further Share Upside

Analysts have increased their price target for Alamos Gold from C$49 to C$51. They cite improved forecasts for the company's revenue growth and profit margins.
Analysis Article • Oct 29

Does Alamos Gold (TSE:AGI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 23

Analysts Lift Alamos Gold Price Target Amid Strong Growth Improved Margins and Positive Outlook

Alamos Gold's analyst price target has been raised from C$54.56 to C$63.79. This reflects analysts' optimism driven by stronger revenue growth and improved profit margins.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 09

Magino And Island Gold Integration Will Empower Future Mining Excellence

Analysts have raised their price target for Alamos Gold from approximately $52.38 to $54.56. They cite expectations of stronger revenue growth and improved profitability as factors driving future performance.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 25

Magino And Island Gold Integration Will Empower Future Mining Excellence

Analysts have raised their price targets for Alamos Gold on the back of higher gold price forecasts, expectations for gold equities to outperform amid strong sector fundamentals, and potential upside from copper exposure, resulting in the consensus price target increasing slightly from CA$51.61 to CA$52.38. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cited rising gold price forecasts, with one setting a tactical gold price target of $3,800/oz in the next 6–12 months, as a key catalyst for Alamos Gold’s upside.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Magino And Island Gold Integration Will Empower Future Mining Excellence

Analysts have slightly raised Alamos Gold’s price target to CA$51.61, reflecting ongoing optimism about operational performance and positive sector outlook amid bullish sentiment on gold and copper prices. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite gold equities' potential to outperform both the gold price and the S&P 500, supported by a tactical gold price target of $3,800/oz over the next 6–12 months.

Shareholder Returns

AGICA Metals and MiningCA Market
7D-5.2%-4.0%-2.5%
1Y8.4%46.6%21.7%

Return vs Industry: AGI underperformed the Canadian Metals and Mining industry which returned 46.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AGI underperformed the Canadian Market which returned 21.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AGI's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AGI volatility
AGI Average Weekly Movement8.9%
Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement10.9%
Market Average Movement9.4%
10% most volatile stocks in CA Market16.5%
10% least volatile stocks in CA Market3.7%

Stable Share Price: AGI has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Canadian market.

Volatility Over Time: AGI's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
20032,400John McCluskeywww.alamosgold.com

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Alamos Gold Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Alamos Gold's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AGI fundamental statistics
Market capCA$21.38b
Earnings (TTM)CA$1.62b
Revenue (TTM)CA$3.08b
12.7x
P/E Ratio
6.7x
P/S Ratio

Is AGI overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
AGI income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.23b
Cost of RevenueUS$651.70m
Gross ProfitUS$1.58b
Other ExpensesUS$403.70m
EarningsUS$1.17b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.80
Gross Margin70.75%
Net Profit Margin52.64%
Debt/Equity Ratio4.2%

How did AGI perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.4%
Current Dividend Yield
5%
Payout Ratio

Does AGI pay a reliable dividends?

See AGI dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy AGI by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Alamos Gold dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateSep 10 2026
Dividend Pay DateSep 24 2026
Days until Ex dividend1 day
Days until Dividend pay date13 days

Does AGI pay a reliable dividends?

See AGI dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/10 22:49
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/10 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alamos Gold Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Sathish KasinathanBofA Global Research
Carey MacRuryCanaccord Genuity

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