Alamos Gold Inc.

TSX:AGI Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$23.2b

Alamos Gold Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Alamos Gold is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.8% and 17.4% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 15.4% per annum.

Key information

15.8%

Earnings growth rate

15.41%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth17.1%
Revenue growth rate17.4%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article • May 02

Alamos Gold Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

There's been a notable change in appetite for Alamos Gold Inc. ( TSE:AGI ) shares in the week since its quarterly...

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 08

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Prices Will Support Dividend Strength And Reserve Expansion

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Alamos Gold stock by about CA$1.93, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026 and revised sector-wide valuation assumptions that are consistent with recent increases in Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting price targets for Alamos Gold after updating 2026 metal price forecasts, which feeds directly into higher modeled cash flows and fair value estimates.
Analysis Article • May 02

Alamos Gold Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

There's been a notable change in appetite for Alamos Gold Inc. ( TSE:AGI ) shares in the week since its quarterly...
Narrative Update • Apr 20

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Price Forecasts Will Support Dividend And Reserve Upside

Analysts have increased their CA$ price target on Alamos Gold by CA$8, citing updated metal price assumptions for 2026 and incremental adjustments to fair value, discount rate, margin and P/E inputs in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Alamos Gold has centered on updated metal price assumptions for 2026 and refreshed valuation models, with several firms revising their price targets in both US$ and CA$ terms.
Narrative Update • Apr 05

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Price Forecasts Will Support Medium Term Upside

Analysts have lifted their average CA$ price target for Alamos Gold, with recent revisions such as BofA's move to CA$57 and multiple Canadian broker increases reflecting updated views on future metal prices and the company's earnings potential in that context. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions for Alamos Gold, including the move to CA$57 at BofA and several other target changes, give you a window into how research desks are framing the risk and reward profile of the stock right now.
Narrative Update • Mar 22

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Price Deck Will Support Bullish Upside

Analysts have lifted their average CA$ price target for Alamos Gold by CA$9, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026 and refreshed assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions on Alamos Gold cluster around updated 2026 metal price forecasts and refreshed valuation assumptions.
Narrative Update • Mar 06

AGI: Higher Metal Price Outlook And Capital Returns Will Drive Bullish Upside

Analysts have lifted their CA$ price targets on Alamos Gold, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about CA$75.30 to roughly CA$79.70. This reflects revised views on metal price forecasts into 2026 and related valuation inputs such as discount rate, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update • Feb 20

AGI: Higher Fair Value And Capital Returns Will Support Bullish Upside

The latest Narrative Update on Alamos Gold reflects a higher analyst price target, with fair value now at CA$75.30 compared with CA$70.95 previously, as analysts point to updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alamos Gold has centered on higher price targets across multiple firms, with analysts updating their models around revenue potential, profitability and what they see as a reasonable P/E range for the stock.
Narrative Update • Feb 05

AGI: Buyback And Rising Earnings Confidence Will Drive Bullish Upside

Narrative Update on Alamos Gold Analysts have lifted their price targets on Alamos Gold, with recent C$6, $5 and $3 upward revisions contributing to a higher implied fair value of 70.95. This is supported by updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
Narrative Update • Jan 22

AGI: New Buyback Plan Will Support Bullish Upside In My View

Narrative Update on Alamos Gold Analysts have lifted their price target on Alamos Gold by $3, pointing to updated fair value estimates, a modestly adjusted discount rate, and revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that together support a slightly higher valuation range. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a modestly higher fair value range for Alamos Gold, with the $3 price target lift tied to updated views on revenue potential, profitability, and the P/E level that analysts consider reasonable for the business.
Narrative Update • Jan 06

AGI: Share Buybacks And Stronger Fourth Quarter Output Will Support Bullish Upside

Analysts now set a modestly higher price target range for Alamos Gold, reflecting small adjustments to their fair value estimate, discount rate, and assumed future P/E multiple, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations broadly in line with prior views. What's in the News Board of Directors authorizes a new share buyback plan on December 22, 2025, signaling continued use of repurchases as a capital allocation tool (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Dec 19

AGI: Stronger Fourth Quarter Output Is Expected To Drive Bullish Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alamos Gold to approximately 64.44 dollars from about 63.99 dollars, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a slightly lower future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Updated 2025 guidance now calls for full year gold production of 560,000 to 580,000 ounces, narrowed from the prior 580,000 to 630,000 ounce range.
Narrative Update • Dec 05

AGI: Rising Price Objective Will Support Upside From Stronger Fourth Quarter Output

Alamos Gold's analyst price target has been raised modestly, with analysts citing sustained operational momentum and an updated valuation framework. Despite slightly higher discount rates and softer growth and margin assumptions, this framework still supports multiple expansion and a new target of about C$51 per share.
Narrative Update • Nov 21

AGI: Elevated Fourth Quarter Production Will Drive Further Potential Upside

Narrative Update: Alamos Gold Analyst Price Target Adjusted Analysts have raised their price target for Alamos Gold by C$1 to C$51. This change reflects continued strong performance, expectations for improved profit margins, and modestly higher revenue growth.
Narrative Update • Nov 06

AGI: Fourth Quarter Production Guidance Will Drive Further Share Upside

Analysts have increased their price target for Alamos Gold from C$49 to C$51. They cite improved forecasts for the company's revenue growth and profit margins.
Analysis Article • Oct 29

Does Alamos Gold (TSE:AGI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
Narrative Update • Oct 23

Analysts Lift Alamos Gold Price Target Amid Strong Growth Improved Margins and Positive Outlook

Alamos Gold's analyst price target has been raised from C$54.56 to C$63.79. This reflects analysts' optimism driven by stronger revenue growth and improved profit margins.
Narrative Update • Oct 09

Magino And Island Gold Integration Will Empower Future Mining Excellence

Analysts have raised their price target for Alamos Gold from approximately $52.38 to $54.56. They cite expectations of stronger revenue growth and improved profitability as factors driving future performance.
Narrative Update • Sep 25

Magino And Island Gold Integration Will Empower Future Mining Excellence

Analysts have raised their price targets for Alamos Gold on the back of higher gold price forecasts, expectations for gold equities to outperform amid strong sector fundamentals, and potential upside from copper exposure, resulting in the consensus price target increasing slightly from CA$51.61 to CA$52.38. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cited rising gold price forecasts, with one setting a tactical gold price target of $3,800/oz in the next 6–12 months, as a key catalyst for Alamos Gold’s upside.
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Magino And Island Gold Integration Will Empower Future Mining Excellence

Analysts have slightly raised Alamos Gold’s price target to CA$51.61, reflecting ongoing optimism about operational performance and positive sector outlook amid bullish sentiment on gold and copper prices. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite gold equities' potential to outperform both the gold price and the S&P 500, supported by a tactical gold price target of $3,800/oz over the next 6–12 months.
Analysis Article • Sep 03

Earnings Tell The Story For Alamos Gold Inc. (TSE:AGI) As Its Stock Soars 29%

Alamos Gold Inc. ( TSE:AGI ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand...
Analysis Article • Aug 01

Is Now The Time To Put Alamos Gold (TSE:AGI) On Your Watchlist?

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analysis Article • Jul 18

Is Alamos Gold (TSE:AGI) A Risky Investment?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
Analysis Article • Jun 21

Investors Will Want Alamos Gold's (TSE:AGI) Growth In ROCE To Persist

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Analysis Article • May 22

We Take A Look At Why Alamos Gold Inc.'s (TSE:AGI) CEO Has Earned Their Pay Packet

Key Insights Alamos Gold's Annual General Meeting to take place on 29th of May Salary of US$785.0k is part of CEO John...
Analysis Article • May 19

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With Alamos Gold Inc.'s (TSE:AGI) Price

When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider...
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New Narrative • Mar 17

Island Gold And Lynn Lake Projects Will Increase Gold Production By 2027

Expansion projects and strategic acquisitions like Magino and Island Gold significantly boost production, leading to increased revenue and reduced costs.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:AGI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20283,6221,6251,3822,1175
12/31/20273,4211,4571,2081,8598
12/31/20262,8431,0948371,8098
3/31/20262,0731,062347958N/A
12/31/20251,809886269795N/A
9/30/20251,609539225737N/A
6/30/20251,508347157636N/A
3/31/20251,402257189631N/A
12/31/20241,347284236661N/A
9/30/20241,226244205593N/A
6/30/20241,121199184541N/A
3/31/20241,049204138488N/A
12/31/20231,023210124473N/A
9/30/20231,001204127451N/A
6/30/202395816391412N/A
3/31/20238889436346N/A
12/31/202282137-15299N/A
9/30/202279226-52284N/A
6/30/202277753-61293N/A
3/31/2022781-126-68304N/A
12/31/2021824-67-18357N/A
9/30/2021847-1960400N/A
6/30/202186824144448N/A
3/31/2021799208139411N/A
12/31/202074814468368N/A
9/30/202070810514315N/A
6/30/202066255-60252N/A
3/31/202070467-54275N/A
12/31/201968396N/A260N/A
9/30/2019660-13N/A230N/A
6/30/2019634-24N/A207N/A
3/31/2019635-56N/A198N/A
12/31/2018652-73N/A214N/A
9/30/2018650-6N/A215N/A
6/30/201863316N/A213N/A
3/31/201859527N/A202N/A
12/31/201754327N/A164N/A
9/30/201751311N/A153N/A
6/30/2017510-13N/A147N/A
3/31/2017499-27N/A132N/A
12/31/2016482-18N/A136N/A
9/30/2016466-58N/A118N/A
6/30/2016444-96N/A73N/A
3/31/2016395-464N/A57N/A
12/31/2015355-509N/A60N/A
9/30/2015310-557N/A84N/A
6/30/2015279-539N/A96N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AGI's forecast earnings growth (15.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).

Earnings vs Market: AGI's earnings (15.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (10.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AGI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: AGI's revenue (17.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (4.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AGI's revenue (17.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if AGI's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/17 12:13
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/15 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alamos Gold Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Sathish KasinathanBofA Global Research
Carey MacRuryCanaccord Genuity