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Earnings Tell The Story For Alamos Gold Inc. (TSE:AGI) As Its Stock Soars 29%
Alamos Gold Inc. (TSE:AGI) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 76%.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Alamos Gold as a stock to avoid entirely with its 38.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Alamos Gold as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Alamos Gold
Is There Enough Growth For Alamos Gold?
Alamos Gold's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 65% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 514% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 32% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Alamos Gold is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Alamos Gold's P/E
Alamos Gold's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Alamos Gold maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Alamos Gold that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Alamos Gold, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:AGI
Alamos Gold
Operates as a gold producer in Canada, Mexico, and the United States.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.
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