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Alamos Gold Inc.

TSX:AGI Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$20.7b

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Alamos Gold Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 5/6

Alamos Gold has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 66.6%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings growing at 23.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 21.5% per year. Alamos Gold's return on equity is 24.4%, and it has net margins of 52.6%.

Key information

66.56%

Earnings growth rate

65.55%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining Industry Growth27.39%
Revenue growth rate21.53%
Return on equity24.41%
Net Margin52.64%
Last Earnings Update30 Jun 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 10

AGI: Island District Strength Will Offset Young-Davidson And Commodity Headwinds

The updated analyst price target for Alamos Gold moves slightly lower to about CA$66 from roughly CA$67, as analysts factor in reduced commodity price assumptions and recent operational issues, while still recognizing strong margins and supportive P/E valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alamos Gold points to a more cautious tone on near term execution and commodity pricing, while still highlighting supportive profitability and valuation compared with peers in the gold space.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 18

AGI: Seismic Events At Key Mine Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Alamos Gold's updated analyst price target has shifted modestly lower to about CA$79 from roughly CA$82, as analysts reflect softer commodity price assumptions, recent production and seismic related updates at Young-Davidson, and expectations for tighter margins across gold producers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alamos Gold points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, even as price targets move slightly lower.
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 12

Shaft Expansion And Cost Pressures Will Test Operations Yet Longer Term Upside Remains

Catalysts About Alamos Gold Alamos Gold is a gold producer with operations and development projects in Canada and Mexico. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 04

AGI: Island District Expansion Will Offset Young-Davidson Seismic Headwinds

Alamos Gold’s updated analyst price target now sits at CA$75, down from CA$82, as analysts factor in softer commodity price forecasts, recent operational disruptions at Young-Davidson, and expectations for margin pressure following lower gold prices and higher costs across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alamos Gold points to a more cautious stance on the stock, even as analysts largely maintain positive views on its longer term execution and asset quality.
Analysis Article • Jul 30

Analysts' Revenue Estimates For Alamos Gold Inc. (TSE:AGI) Are Surging Higher

Celebrations may be in order for Alamos Gold Inc. ( TSE:AGI ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant...
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New Narrative • Jul 28

Long-Life District Expansions And Growing Reserves Will Transform This Gold Producer

Catalysts About Alamos Gold Alamos Gold is a gold producer with a portfolio of operating mines and growth projects in Canada and Mexico. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 21

AGI: Island District Expansion Will Offset Young-Davidson Seismic And Legal Headwinds

The updated analyst price target for Alamos Gold reflects a modest reset in fair value to CA$70.68 from CA$72.84. Analysts are factoring in sector wide reductions in commodity price forecasts, recent operational updates at Young-Davidson, and expectations for mixed near term margins despite continued strength in gold producer balance sheets.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 07

AGI: Island Gold District Expansion Will Offset Young-Davidson Seismic Disruptions

Alamos Gold's analyst price target has been trimmed by about CA$3, as analysts factor in lower forecast fair value along with pressures from weaker gold prices, higher diesel costs, revised production guidance and recent seismic related disruptions at Young-Davidson. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alamos Gold points to a more cautious stance on valuation, with analysts trimming price targets as they factor in weaker gold prices, higher diesel costs and operational updates at key assets like Young-Davidson and La Yaqui Grande.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 23

AGI: Island Gold District Expansion Will Offset Young-Davidson Production Challenges

Alamos Gold's analyst price target has been reduced to CA$73 from CA$90 as analysts factor in lower near term production expectations at Young-Davidson and updated company guidance, while still highlighting the growing importance of the Island Gold District to the overall story. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alamos Gold centers on lower production expectations at Young-Davidson and updated company guidance, with price targets adjusted accordingly.
Analysis Article • Jun 16

Alamos Gold (TSX:AGI) Stock Could Be 36.9% Undervalued After Conference Focus

Alamos Gold (TSX:AGI) is back in focus after a 6.9% share price move on June 15, coinciding with investor attention around its upcoming presentation at the RBC Capital Markets Global Mining & Materials Conference in New York. See our latest analysis for Alamos Gold. That conference appearance comes after a mixed stretch for Alamos Gold’s share price. A 7 day share price return of 5.18% contrasts with a 90 day share price return that is down 15.98%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of...
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Narrative Update • Jun 05

AGI: Lower Costs And Expanding Reserves Will Support Dividend Strength

Narrative Update on Alamos Gold The analyst price target for Alamos Gold has been raised by CA$8, with analysts pointing to updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a revised P/E outlook as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alamos Gold reported first quarter 2026 gold production of 123,900 ounces, compared with 125,000 ounces in the same period a year earlier, with results tied to performance at the Island Gold and Magino mines.
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Narrative Update • May 08

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Prices Will Support Dividend Strength And Reserve Expansion

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Alamos Gold stock by about CA$1.93, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026 and revised sector-wide valuation assumptions that are consistent with recent increases in Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting price targets for Alamos Gold after updating 2026 metal price forecasts, which feeds directly into higher modeled cash flows and fair value estimates.
Analysis Article • May 02

Alamos Gold Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

There's been a notable change in appetite for Alamos Gold Inc. ( TSE:AGI ) shares in the week since its quarterly...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 20

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Price Forecasts Will Support Dividend And Reserve Upside

Analysts have increased their CA$ price target on Alamos Gold by CA$8, citing updated metal price assumptions for 2026 and incremental adjustments to fair value, discount rate, margin and P/E inputs in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Alamos Gold has centered on updated metal price assumptions for 2026 and refreshed valuation models, with several firms revising their price targets in both US$ and CA$ terms.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 05

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Price Forecasts Will Support Medium Term Upside

Analysts have lifted their average CA$ price target for Alamos Gold, with recent revisions such as BofA's move to CA$57 and multiple Canadian broker increases reflecting updated views on future metal prices and the company's earnings potential in that context. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions for Alamos Gold, including the move to CA$57 at BofA and several other target changes, give you a window into how research desks are framing the risk and reward profile of the stock right now.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 22

AGI: Higher 2026 Metal Price Deck Will Support Bullish Upside

Analysts have lifted their average CA$ price target for Alamos Gold by CA$9, citing updated metal price forecasts for 2026 and refreshed assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions on Alamos Gold cluster around updated 2026 metal price forecasts and refreshed valuation assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 06

AGI: Higher Metal Price Outlook And Capital Returns Will Drive Bullish Upside

Analysts have lifted their CA$ price targets on Alamos Gold, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about CA$75.30 to roughly CA$79.70. This reflects revised views on metal price forecasts into 2026 and related valuation inputs such as discount rate, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 20

AGI: Higher Fair Value And Capital Returns Will Support Bullish Upside

The latest Narrative Update on Alamos Gold reflects a higher analyst price target, with fair value now at CA$75.30 compared with CA$70.95 previously, as analysts point to updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alamos Gold has centered on higher price targets across multiple firms, with analysts updating their models around revenue potential, profitability and what they see as a reasonable P/E range for the stock.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 05

AGI: Buyback And Rising Earnings Confidence Will Drive Bullish Upside

Narrative Update on Alamos Gold Analysts have lifted their price targets on Alamos Gold, with recent C$6, $5 and $3 upward revisions contributing to a higher implied fair value of 70.95. This is supported by updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 22

AGI: New Buyback Plan Will Support Bullish Upside In My View

Narrative Update on Alamos Gold Analysts have lifted their price target on Alamos Gold by $3, pointing to updated fair value estimates, a modestly adjusted discount rate, and revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that together support a slightly higher valuation range. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a modestly higher fair value range for Alamos Gold, with the $3 price target lift tied to updated views on revenue potential, profitability, and the P/E level that analysts consider reasonable for the business.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 06

AGI: Share Buybacks And Stronger Fourth Quarter Output Will Support Bullish Upside

Analysts now set a modestly higher price target range for Alamos Gold, reflecting small adjustments to their fair value estimate, discount rate, and assumed future P/E multiple, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations broadly in line with prior views. What's in the News Board of Directors authorizes a new share buyback plan on December 22, 2025, signaling continued use of repurchases as a capital allocation tool (Key Developments).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 19

AGI: Stronger Fourth Quarter Output Is Expected To Drive Bullish Upside

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alamos Gold to approximately 64.44 dollars from about 63.99 dollars, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a slightly lower future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Updated 2025 guidance now calls for full year gold production of 560,000 to 580,000 ounces, narrowed from the prior 580,000 to 630,000 ounce range.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 05

AGI: Rising Price Objective Will Support Upside From Stronger Fourth Quarter Output

Alamos Gold's analyst price target has been raised modestly, with analysts citing sustained operational momentum and an updated valuation framework. Despite slightly higher discount rates and softer growth and margin assumptions, this framework still supports multiple expansion and a new target of about C$51 per share.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 21

AGI: Elevated Fourth Quarter Production Will Drive Further Potential Upside

Narrative Update: Alamos Gold Analyst Price Target Adjusted Analysts have raised their price target for Alamos Gold by C$1 to C$51. This change reflects continued strong performance, expectations for improved profit margins, and modestly higher revenue growth.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Nov 06

AGI: Fourth Quarter Production Guidance Will Drive Further Share Upside

Analysts have increased their price target for Alamos Gold from C$49 to C$51. They cite improved forecasts for the company's revenue growth and profit margins.
Analysis Article • Oct 29

Does Alamos Gold (TSE:AGI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 23

Analysts Lift Alamos Gold Price Target Amid Strong Growth Improved Margins and Positive Outlook

Alamos Gold's analyst price target has been raised from C$54.56 to C$63.79. This reflects analysts' optimism driven by stronger revenue growth and improved profit margins.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Oct 09

Magino And Island Gold Integration Will Empower Future Mining Excellence

Analysts have raised their price target for Alamos Gold from approximately $52.38 to $54.56. They cite expectations of stronger revenue growth and improved profitability as factors driving future performance.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 25

Magino And Island Gold Integration Will Empower Future Mining Excellence

Analysts have raised their price targets for Alamos Gold on the back of higher gold price forecasts, expectations for gold equities to outperform amid strong sector fundamentals, and potential upside from copper exposure, resulting in the consensus price target increasing slightly from CA$51.61 to CA$52.38. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cited rising gold price forecasts, with one setting a tactical gold price target of $3,800/oz in the next 6–12 months, as a key catalyst for Alamos Gold’s upside.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Magino And Island Gold Integration Will Empower Future Mining Excellence

Analysts have slightly raised Alamos Gold’s price target to CA$51.61, reflecting ongoing optimism about operational performance and positive sector outlook amid bullish sentiment on gold and copper prices. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite gold equities' potential to outperform both the gold price and the S&P 500, supported by a tactical gold price target of $3,800/oz over the next 6–12 months.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Alamos Gold makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

TSX:AGI Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
30 Jun 262,2281,1731080
31 Mar 262,0731,0621240
31 Dec 251,8098861210
30 Sep 251,6095391120
30 Jun 251,5083471120
31 Mar 251,4022571120
31 Dec 241,347284910
30 Sep 241,226244910
30 Jun 241,121199750
31 Mar 241,049204690
31 Dec 231,023210680
30 Sep 231,001204680
30 Jun 23958163680
31 Mar 2388894670
31 Dec 2282137630
30 Sep 2279226610
30 Jun 2277753560
31 Mar 22781-126550
31 Dec 21824-67500
30 Sep 21847-19450
30 Jun 2186824420
31 Mar 21799208400
31 Dec 20748144390
30 Sep 20708105370
30 Jun 2066255380
31 Mar 2070467360
31 Dec 1968396360
30 Sep 19660-13350
30 Jun 19634-24350
31 Mar 19635-56360
31 Dec 18652-73350
30 Sep 18650-6360
30 Jun 1863316350
31 Mar 1859527310
31 Dec 1754327300
30 Sep 1751311290
30 Jun 17510-13280
31 Mar 17499-27330
31 Dec 16482-18320
30 Sep 16466-58380
30 Jun 16444-96420
31 Mar 16395-464360
31 Dec 15355-509340
30 Sep 15310-557260

Quality Earnings: AGI has a high level of non-cash earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: AGI's current net profit margins (52.6%) are higher than last year (23%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: AGI's earnings have grown significantly by 66.6% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: AGI's earnings growth over the past year (238.3%) exceeds its 5-year average (66.6% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: AGI earnings growth over the past year (238.3%) exceeded the Metals and Mining industry 130.3%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: AGI's Return on Equity (24.4%) is considered high.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 04:10
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alamos Gold Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Sathish KasinathanBofA Global Research
Carey MacRuryCanaccord Genuity

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