Lundin Gold Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Lundin Gold is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.3% and 5.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 27.9% in 3 years.

Key information

9.3%

Earnings growth rate

9.0%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	25.1%
Revenue growth rate	5.4%
Future return on equity	27.9%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	22 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

There's Reason For Concern Over Lundin Gold Inc.'s (TSE:LUG) Massive 33% Price Jump

Apr 17

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Presents An Opportunity

Mar 26

Lundin Gold Inc.'s (TSE:LUG) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 29% Share Price Bounce

Feb 06

Are Investors Undervaluing Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG) By 47%?

Jan 10

Is Now The Time To Put Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) On Your Watchlist?

Dec 10

Shareholders Can Be Confident That Lundin Gold's (TSE:LUG) Earnings Are High Quality

Nov 15

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Lundin Gold Inc.'s (TSE:LUG) P/E

Nov 07

Does Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Sep 23

A Look At The Fair Value Of Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG)

Sep 09

Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To $0.20

Aug 12

Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG) Not Flying Under The Radar

Aug 09

The Trend Of High Returns At Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Has Us Very Interested

Jul 25

Does Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Jun 10

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG) After Its First-Quarter Report

May 12

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG)

May 03

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:LUG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	1,400	566	522	674	5
12/31/2026	1,518	601	617	751	7
12/31/2025	1,487	555	619	750	7
12/31/2024	1,193	426	580	662	N/A
9/30/2024	1,042	308	491	563	N/A
6/30/2024	930	226	410	465	N/A
3/31/2024	873	170	429	483	N/A
12/31/2023	903	179	471	519	N/A
9/30/2023	923	100	510	560	N/A
6/30/2023	922	109	495	545	N/A
3/31/2023	856	102	394	443	N/A
12/31/2022	816	74	372	426	N/A
9/30/2022	791	171	353	401	N/A
6/30/2022	771	165	335	389	N/A
3/31/2022	810	159	415	470	N/A
12/31/2021	733	221	361	418	N/A
9/30/2021	736	191	333	405	N/A
6/30/2021	664	163	272	335	N/A
3/31/2021	461	48	123	175	N/A
12/31/2020	358	-47	55	114	N/A
9/30/2020	169	-87	-108	16	N/A
6/30/2020	50	-154	-227	-16	N/A
3/31/2020	37	-121	-325	-5	N/A
12/31/2019	N/A	-119	-425	-21	N/A
9/30/2019	N/A	-102	-461	-13	N/A
6/30/2019	N/A	-55	-446	-26	N/A
3/31/2019	N/A	-4	-396	-23	N/A
12/31/2018	N/A	-22	-358	-32	N/A
9/30/2018	N/A	-18	N/A	-44	N/A
6/30/2018	N/A	-41	N/A	-26	N/A
3/31/2018	N/A	-60	N/A	-36	N/A
12/31/2017	N/A	-41	N/A	-28	N/A
9/30/2017	N/A	-46	N/A	-44	N/A
6/30/2017	N/A	-41	N/A	-51	N/A
3/31/2017	N/A	-54	N/A	-48	N/A
12/31/2016	N/A	-63	N/A	-57	N/A
9/30/2016	N/A	-52	N/A	-46	N/A
6/30/2016	N/A	-52	N/A	-51	N/A
3/31/2016	N/A	-55	N/A	-50	N/A
12/31/2015	N/A	-45	N/A	-43	N/A
9/30/2015	N/A	-30	N/A	-32	N/A
6/30/2015	N/A	-19	N/A	-17	N/A
3/31/2015	N/A	-5	N/A	-7	N/A
12/31/2014	N/A	-1	N/A	-1	N/A
9/30/2014	N/A	-3	N/A	-2	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: LUG's forecast earnings growth (9.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).

Earnings vs Market: LUG's earnings (9.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (16.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: LUG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: LUG's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (4.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: LUG's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: LUG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (27.9%)

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/04/22 11:00
End of Day Share Price	2025/04/22 00:00
Earnings	2024/12/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lundin Gold Inc. is covered by 31 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Brian Quast	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Carey MacRury	Canaccord Genuity
Anita Soni	CIBC Capital Markets

Lundin Gold Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 8.1% to CA$46.29

Price target increased by 7.8% to CA$42.83

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Price target increased by 7.3% to CA$35.45

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 10%

Price target increased by 11% to CA$31.81

Recent updates

There's Reason For Concern Over Lundin Gold Inc.'s (TSE:LUG) Massive 33% Price Jump

Price target increased by 8.1% to CA$46.29

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Lundin Gold Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 08, 2025

Price target increased by 7.8% to CA$42.83

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Presents An Opportunity

Chief Financial Officer exercised options and sold CA$573k worth of stock

Chief Financial Officer recently sold CA$828k worth of stock

President recently sold CA$3.7m worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%

Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.43

Fourth quarter dividend of CA$0.43 announced

Lundin Gold Inc., Annual General Meeting, May 09, 2025

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Lundin Gold Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend, Payable on March 26, 2025

Returns On Capital Are A Standout For Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG)

Lundin Gold Inc. Achieves A New High of Contained Gold Ounces in Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources At Fruta Del Norte

Plant Expansion And New Jameson Cells Will Improve Gold Recovery Rates

Lundin Gold Inc.'s (TSE:LUG) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 29% Share Price Bounce

Independent Lead Director exercised options to buy CA$978k worth of stock.

Are Investors Undervaluing Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG) By 47%?

Lundin Gold Inc. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Feb 20, 2025

Is Now The Time To Put Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) On Your Watchlist?

Lundin Gold Inc. Announces Additional Drilling Results from Its Ongoing 2024 Near-Mine Exploration Program at Bonza Sur

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.28 per share

Price target increased by 7.3% to CA$35.45

Shareholders Can Be Confident That Lundin Gold's (TSE:LUG) Earnings Are High Quality

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 10%

Third quarter dividend of CA$0.20 announced

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.57 (vs US$0.23 in 3Q 2023)

Lundin Gold Announces Quarterly Dividend, Payable on December 20, 2024

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Lundin Gold Inc.'s (TSE:LUG) P/E

Now 21% undervalued

Price target increased by 11% to CA$31.81

Chief Operating Officer exercised options and sold CA$418k worth of stock

Does Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

President recently sold CA$478k worth of stock

Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise

A Look At The Fair Value Of Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG)

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.27 per share

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To $0.20

Second quarter dividend of CA$0.20 announced

Lundin Gold Doubles Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 25, 2024

Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG) Not Flying Under The Radar

Lundin Gold Doubles Quarterly Dividend, Payable on September 25, 2024

Lundin Gold Inc. Announces Additional Drilling Results from its 2024 Near-Mine Program at Bonza Sur

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Lundin Gold Reports High-Grade Mineralization at FDNS as Part of its Near-Mine Drilling Program

The Trend Of High Returns At Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Has Us Very Interested

Lundin Gold Inc. Announces CFO Transition

Lundin Gold Inc. Reaffirms Production Guidance for the Year 2024

Senior Vice President of Finance recently sold CA$610k worth of stock

Does Lundin Gold (TSE:LUG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.14 per share

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Independent Director exercised options and sold CA$440k worth of stock

Senior Vice President of Finance recently sold CA$1.0m worth of stock

First quarter dividend of CA$0.14 announced

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG) After Its First-Quarter Report

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.18 (vs US$0.22 in 1Q 2023)

Lundin Gold Inc Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on June 25, 2024

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Lundin Gold Inc. (TSE:LUG)

Price target increased by 7.1% to CA$23.08

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 19%

Lundin Gold Inc. Announces Initial Results from its Ongoing 2024 Near- Mine Exploration and Conversion Programs at its 100% Owned Fruta Del Norte Gold Mine in Southeast Ecuador

Lundin Gold Inc. Reports Its Updated Estimates of Mineral Reserves nd Mineral Resources as At December 31, 2023 for Its Fruta Del Norte Gold Mine ("Fdn") in Ecuador