Stock Analysis

D2L Inc. (TSE:DTOL) Shares May Have Slumped 32% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

The D2L Inc. (TSE:DTOL) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 32%. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 29% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies operating in Canada's Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may still consider D2L as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for D2L

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:DTOL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 7th 2025
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How Has D2L Performed Recently?

D2L could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think D2L's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start .

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For D2L?

D2L's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 35% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 8.2% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's alarming that D2L's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On D2L's P/S

Despite the recent share price weakness, D2L's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for D2L, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - D2L has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:DTOL

D2L

Provides cloud-based learning software for higher education institutions, kindergarten to grade 12 schools and districts, and private sector enterprises in Canada, the United States, and internationally.

Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.

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