MotorCycle Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

MotorCycle Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.9% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.6% in 3 years.

Key information

12.9%

Earnings growth rate

12.9%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	8.4%
Revenue growth rate	5.6%
Future return on equity	9.6%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	09 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) Stock Catapults 41% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

Sep 08

What Is MotorCycle Holdings Limited's (ASX:MTO) Share Price Doing?

Sep 07

Are Investors Undervaluing MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) By 48%?

Aug 09

Little Excitement Around MotorCycle Holdings Limited's (ASX:MTO) Earnings As Shares Take 26% Pounding

Jun 28

MotorCycle Holdings (ASX:MTO) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At AU$0.12

Feb 28

Why MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) Could Be Worth Watching

Jun 14

Estimating The Fair Value Of MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO)

May 31

Does MotorCycle Holdings (ASX:MTO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Apr 05

MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) Investors Should Think About This Before Buying It For Its Dividend

Mar 24

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Mar 12

David Ahmet Is The Co-Founder of MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) And Just Spent AU$238k On Shares

Mar 09

We Think You Can Look Beyond MotorCycle Holdings' (ASX:MTO) Lackluster Earnings

Mar 03

What Is MotorCycle Holdings Limited's (ASX:MTO) Share Price Doing?

Mar 01

Do Institutions Own MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) Shares?

Feb 15

A Look At The Fair Value Of MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO)

Jan 28

MotorCycle Holdings' (ASX:MTO) Stock Price Has Reduced 49% In The Past Three Years

Jan 10

What Can We Learn About MotorCycle Holdings' (ASX:MTO) CEO Compensation?

Dec 23

Are Insiders Buying MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) Stock?

Dec 08

MotorCycle Holdings (ASX:MTO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Nov 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:MTO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	688	21	20	32	3
6/30/2026	652	19	19	31	3
6/30/2025	616	17	17	27	3
6/30/2024	582	14	22	25	N/A
3/31/2024	588	17	28	31	N/A
12/31/2023	595	19	33	36	N/A
9/30/2023	586	21	35	38	N/A
6/30/2023	577	23	36	39	N/A
3/31/2023	538	22	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2022	499	21	12	15	N/A
9/30/2022	478	22	13	15	N/A
6/30/2022	457	23	13	15	N/A
3/31/2022	452	23	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2021	447	24	14	16	N/A
9/30/2021	439	26	20	22	N/A
6/30/2021	431	28	27	29	N/A
3/31/2021	417	16	43	45	N/A
12/31/2020	403	3	59	61	N/A
9/30/2020	382	-3	52	53	N/A
6/30/2020	362	-9	44	45	N/A
3/31/2020	348	-1	29	31	N/A
12/31/2019	334	8	15	16	N/A
9/30/2019	332	8	16	18	N/A
6/30/2019	330	8	17	19	N/A
3/31/2019	333	9	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2018	335	10	9	12	N/A
9/30/2018	319	9	4	7	N/A
6/30/2018	302	9	0	2	N/A
3/31/2018	278	8	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2017	254	8	N/A	7	N/A
9/30/2017	245	8	N/A	8	N/A
6/30/2017	235	9	N/A	8	N/A
3/31/2017	230	8	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2016	225	7	N/A	7	N/A
9/30/2016	217	6	N/A	8	N/A
6/30/2016	209	6	N/A	8	N/A
3/31/2016	196	5	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2015	182	5	N/A	4	N/A
9/30/2015	177	5	N/A	3	N/A
6/30/2015	172	4	N/A	2	N/A
6/30/2014	174	4	N/A	5	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MTO's forecast earnings growth (12.9% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: MTO's earnings (12.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MTO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MTO's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MTO's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MTO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/21 09:36
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

MotorCycle Holdings Limited is covered by 4 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Sarah Mann	MA Moelis Australia Securities Pty Ltd
Jared Gelsomino	Morgans Financial Limited

MotorCycle Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 21%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%, revenue upgraded

Price target decreased by 12% to AU$1.82

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Recent updates

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

MotorCycle Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 27, 2024

MotorCycle Holdings Limited Announces Chief Executive Officer Changes

MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) Stock Catapults 41% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

What Is MotorCycle Holdings Limited's (ASX:MTO) Share Price Doing?

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 21%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%

First half dividend of AU$0.07 announced

Are Investors Undervaluing MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) By 48%?

MotorCycle Holdings Limited Announces Resignation of Katie McNamara as Non-Executive Director

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 26%

Little Excitement Around MotorCycle Holdings Limited's (ASX:MTO) Earnings As Shares Take 26% Pounding

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.03 per share

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%, revenue upgraded

Price target decreased by 12% to AU$1.82

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.14 (vs AU$0.16 in 1H 2023)

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO)

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 20%

Now 31% undervalued after recent price drop

MotorCycle Holdings (ASX:MTO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Now 21% undervalued

Now 20% undervalued

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Now 20% undervalued

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.12 per share at 9.1% yield

Co-Founder exercised options to buy AU$209k worth of stock.

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

MotorCycle Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 29, 2023

Motorcycle Holdings Limited Appoints Stephanie So as Joint Company Secretary

Should You Investigate MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) At AU$1.72?

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Price target decreased by 9.8% to AU$2.30

New minor risk - Insider selling

Co-Founder recently bought AU$86k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.08 per share at 12% yield

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Price target decreased by 10% to AU$2.73

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.16 (vs AU$0.20 in 1H 2022)

MotorCycle Holdings Limited Announces the Appointment of Michael Ross Poynton as Director

Insufficient new directors

MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) completed the acquisition of Mojo Motorcycles Pty Ltd and Mojo Electric Vehicles Pty Ltd.

Motorcycle Holdings Limited Announces Directorate and Executive Changes

Co-Founder recently bought AU$75k worth of stock

Is It Time To Consider Buying MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO)?

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

MotorCycle Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 27, 2022

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.08 per share

Price target decreased to AU$2.68

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Motorcycle Holdings Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Franked Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2022, Payable on October 4, 2022

MotorCycle Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Aug 29, 2022

Price target decreased to AU$3.37

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Insufficient new directors

Co-Founder recently bought AU$64k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.12 per share

First half 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

MotorCycle Holdings (ASX:MTO) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At AU$0.12

MotorCycle Holdings Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Paid Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on April 6, 2022

MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) completed the acquisition of Wide Bay Motorcycles.

MotorCycle Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Feb 25, 2022

MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) agreed to acquire Wide Bay Motorcycles.

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.46 (vs AU$0.15 loss in FY 2020)

Price target increased to AU$3.18