Stock Analysis

Should You Investigate MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) At AU$1.72?

ASX:MTO
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While MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the ASX. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s take a look at MotorCycle Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for MotorCycle Holdings

Is MotorCycle Holdings Still Cheap?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 6.03x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 8.73x, which means if you buy MotorCycle Holdings today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe MotorCycle Holdings should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that MotorCycle Holdings’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from MotorCycle Holdings?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:MTO Earnings and Revenue Growth July 11th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 1.5% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for MotorCycle Holdings, at least in the short term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? MTO’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at MTO? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MTO, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive growth outlook may mean it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Be aware that MotorCycle Holdings is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.