Stock Analysis

Why MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO) Could Be Worth Watching

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ASX:MTO
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MotorCycle Holdings Limited (ASX:MTO), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the ASX over the last few months. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today I will analyse the most recent data on MotorCycle Holdings’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for MotorCycle Holdings

What is MotorCycle Holdings worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 11% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy MotorCycle Holdings today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth A$3.16, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since MotorCycle Holdings’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of MotorCycle Holdings look like?

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ASX:MTO Earnings and Revenue Growth June 15th 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for MotorCycle Holdings. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? MTO’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on MTO, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for MotorCycle Holdings you should be mindful of and 1 of them is concerning.

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